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Middle East

Israel: how tense is it right now?

13.0% of the news located in Israel this week is about armed violence (war and terrorism): #12 of the 74 countries we track. Compared with its own history since 2017, that is around its usual level (50 out of 100).

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Armed-conflict intensity13.0%of its news, last 7 days
Rank#12of 74 countries
Vs its own history50around its usual level
Share of the world’s war news7.1%weighed by severity
Israel · share of its news about armed violence, last 12 months
7.5%15.1%22.6%NovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctIran war, 28 February 2026

Top story. Israel's final election results show no bloc has won a majority, covered by 5 newsrooms in the last 36 hours.

31 OctWARIran's supreme leader warns U.S., Israel against new attacksCBS News31 OctWORLDEducation under fire: Gaza’s children face death on their way to schoolAl Jazeera31 OctWARIsraeli strike on Nuseirat refugee camp in central Gaza kills PalestinianMiddle East Eye31 OctWARPalestinian man injured in Israeli strike on Gaza succumbs, report saysMiddle East Eye31 OctWARIsraeli air strikes target southern Lebanese town of Kfar TebnitMiddle East Eye31 OctWARPalestinian journalist returns home after 15 months in Israeli detentionMiddle East Eye31 OctDIPLOMACYDifficult negotiations lie ahead in Israel after Netanyahu's bloc lost its parliamentary majorityThe Hindu31 OctUNRESTAnyone attending, organising Palestine Action protest will be arrested, Metropolitan Police warnsMiddle East Eye
Israel · weekly average since 2017 (highest: 5 October 2024)
7.8%15.7%23.5%201820192020202120222023202420252026Abraham Accords, 15 September 2020October 7 attack, 7 October 2023Iran strikes Israel, 13 April 2024Twelve-Day War, 13 June 2025Israel–Iran ceasefire, 24 June 2025Iran war, 28 February 2026
Week endingIntensityNearby event
5 October 202430.5%—
8 March 202627.9%Iran war
20 June 202526.9%Twelve-Day War
15 May 202326.7%—
12 April 202326.4%—
YearAverage intensityHighest weekTypical rank
202617.1%27.9%#6
202515.3%26.9%#7
202419.9%30.5%#6
202316.4%26.7%#7
202213.8%25.9%#9
202111.6%23.5%#14
20208.8%15.3%#19
201911.6%24.0%#12
201812.9%20.3%#9
201710.1%15.9%#15

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Frequently asked questions

How tense is Israel right now?

13.0% of the news located in Israel over the last 7 days was about armed violence (war and terrorism), which ranks it #12 of the 74 countries Riftrate tracks.

Is Israel more tense than usual?

Compared with its own history since 2017, Israel is around its usual level: it has been calmer on 50% of days.

When was Israel most tense since 2017?

The highest reading was 30.5%, in the 7 days to 5 October 2024.

Which countries in Middle East are the most tense right now?

Yemen (29.3%), Gaza and the West Bank (23.7%), Jordan (22.9%).

Where does this data come from?

From the GDELT Project, which codes events reported in the world’s news in more than 100 languages and locates them. Riftrate measures the share of each country’s news about armed violence, excluding ordinary crime and policing. It measures the news, not casualties.

How it is measured: GDELT locates every event reported in the news. We take all the coverage of events located in the country over 7 days and measure the part about armed violence: war and terrorism, excluding ordinary crime and policing. It does not depend on the size of the country or on how many newspapers cover it. It measures the news, not the number of victims. Methodology