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Russia vs Ukraine: which is more tense right now?

This week, 9.6% of the news located in Russia is about armed violence (#18 of 74), against 11.6% in Ukraine (#15). Ukraine is the more tense of the two right now.

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Russia9.6%#18 · around its usual level
Ukraine11.6%#15 · around its usual level
Russia tenser than Ukraine12%of weeks since 2017
Both most tense7 January 2024week with the highest combined reading
Share of each country’s news about armed violence, last 12 months
RussiaUkraine
10%20%NovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctUkraineRussia
Weekly average since 2017
RussiaUkraine
10%20%201820192020202120222023202420252026UkraineRussia
YearRussia, averageUkraine, averageMore tense
202613.3%15.8%Ukraine
202511.9%13.3%Ukraine
202414.2%16.2%Ukraine
202313.6%16.1%Ukraine
202211.2%13.1%Ukraine
20216.5%7.8%Ukraine
20206.7%7.6%Ukraine
20196.4%7.0%Ukraine
20187.5%8.9%Ukraine
20177.5%9.7%Ukraine

Frequently asked questions

Is Russia or Ukraine more tense right now?

Ukraine is the more tense this week: 11.6% of its news is about armed violence, against 9.6% for Russia.

Which has been more tense since 2017, Russia or Ukraine?

Russia was the more tense of the two in 12% of weeks since 2017, Ukraine in the other 88%.

When were Russia and Ukraine most tense together?

In the week to 7 January 2024: 21.1% for Russia and 24.0% for Ukraine.

How is this measured?

For each country, Riftrate measures the share of the news located there that is about armed violence (war and terrorism, excluding ordinary crime), over 7 days, from the GDELT event database. It does not depend on the size of the country. It measures the news, not casualties.

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