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China vs Taiwan: which is more tense right now?

This week, 3.9% of the news located in China is about armed violence (#58 of 74), against 2.6% in Taiwan (#72). China is the more tense of the two right now.

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China3.9%#58 · below its usual level
Taiwan2.6%#72 · far below its usual level
China tenser than Taiwan44%of weeks since 2017
Both most tense4 January 2026week with the highest combined reading
Share of each country’s news about armed violence, last 12 months
ChinaTaiwan
5%10%15%NovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctTaiwanChina
Weekly average since 2017
ChinaTaiwan
5%10%15%201820192020202120222023202420252026TaiwanChina
YearChina, averageTaiwan, averageMore tense
20264.6%5.1%Taiwan
20254.5%5.5%Taiwan
20244.7%5.5%Taiwan
20234.2%5.7%Taiwan
20225.1%6.5%Taiwan
20214.9%5.9%Taiwan
20204.9%4.7%China
20194.1%3.7%China
20184.2%3.9%China
20174.6%3.7%China

Frequently asked questions

Is China or Taiwan more tense right now?

China is the more tense this week: 3.9% of its news is about armed violence, against 2.6% for Taiwan.

Which has been more tense since 2017, China or Taiwan?

China was the more tense of the two in 44% of weeks since 2017, Taiwan in the other 56%.

When were China and Taiwan most tense together?

In the week to 4 January 2026: 7.3% for China and 14.1% for Taiwan.

How is this measured?

For each country, Riftrate measures the share of the news located there that is about armed violence (war and terrorism, excluding ordinary crime), over 7 days, from the GDELT event database. It does not depend on the size of the country. It measures the news, not casualties.

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