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Russia: how tense is it right now?

9.6% of the news located in Russia this week is about armed violence (war and terrorism): #18 of the 74 countries we track. Compared with its own history since 2017, that is around its usual level (52 out of 100).

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Armed-conflict intensity9.6%of its news, last 7 days
Rank#18of 74 countries
Vs its own history52around its usual level
Share of the world’s war news7.6%weighed by severity
Russia · share of its news about armed violence, last 12 months
5.3%10.5%15.8%NovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct
31 OctDIPLOMACYTshisekedi seeks Putin's help against Rwanda-backed rebelsAfricanews31 OctWORLDRussian attacks kill 5, injure at least 46 as Ukraine faces 'difficult' energy situationKyiv Independent31 OctDIPLOMACYRival US and Russian resolutions on Western Sahara fail at UNAl Jazeera31 OctDIPLOMACYRussia's presence divides G20 ministersFrance 2431 OctDIPLOMACYLavrov denies Kyiv Independent reporting on Russian push for Putin-Zelensky phone callKyiv Independent31 OctWARGeneral Staff: Russia has lost 1,588,180 troops in Ukraine since Feb. 24, 2022Kyiv Independent31 OctDIPLOMACYGhana in talks with Russia for first nuclear power plantAfricanews31 OctWORLDPower outages hit Russia's Kaliningrad Oblast, explosions reported in Ufa amid drone alertsKyiv Independent
Russia · weekly average since 2017 (highest: 4 January 2024)
5.7%11.4%17.1%201820192020202120222023202420252026Russia invades Ukraine, 24 February 2022
Week endingIntensityNearby event
4 January 202422.5%—
5 August 202619.5%—
8 January 202519.4%—
23 November 202418.9%—
28 March 202418.8%—
YearAverage intensityHighest weekTypical rank
202613.3%19.5%#11
202511.9%19.4%#13
202414.2%22.5%#12
202313.6%17.1%#10
202211.2%14.4%#13
20216.5%9.0%#31
20206.7%10.2%#27
20196.4%8.8%#29
20187.5%13.7%#24
20177.5%13.6%#28

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Frequently asked questions

How tense is Russia right now?

9.6% of the news located in Russia over the last 7 days was about armed violence (war and terrorism), which ranks it #18 of the 74 countries Riftrate tracks.

Is Russia more tense than usual?

Compared with its own history since 2017, Russia is around its usual level: it has been calmer on 52% of days.

When was Russia most tense since 2017?

The highest reading was 22.5%, in the 7 days to 4 January 2024.

Which countries in Europe are the most tense right now?

Ukraine (11.6%), Russia (9.6%), France (5.9%).

Where does this data come from?

From the GDELT Project, which codes events reported in the world’s news in more than 100 languages and locates them. Riftrate measures the share of each country’s news about armed violence, excluding ordinary crime and policing. It measures the news, not casualties.

How it is measured: GDELT locates every event reported in the news. We take all the coverage of events located in the country over 7 days and measure the part about armed violence: war and terrorism, excluding ordinary crime and policing. It does not depend on the size of the country or on how many newspapers cover it. It measures the news, not the number of victims. Methodology