Riftrate · November 2024
World tension in November 2024
In November 2024, Riftrate averaged 40.1 (Easing), down 24.0 points from October 2024. It peaked at 62.5 on 25 November 2024 and was lowest at 23.2 on 11 November 2024.
Average40.1Easing
High62.525 November 2024
Low23.211 November 2024
Change vs October▼ −24.0average to average
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
| Signal | Average | vs Oct |
|---|---|---|
| Media tone | 15 | ▼ −35.0 |
| Diplomatic rupture | 39 | ▼ −30.1 |
| Escalation momentum | 23 | ▼ −28.3 |
| Terrorism & mass violence | 61 | ▼ −27.6 |
| War & military | 56 | ▼ −26.6 |
| Geopolitical risk (GPR) | 54 | ▼ −5.6 |
| Domestic unrest | 27 | ▼ −1.7 |
| Economic coercion | 30 | ▲ +0.1 |
November 2024 in context
By its average, November 2024 was the 73rd tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 6 of its 30 days in Tension or Crisis and 17 in Easing or Complacency. That is 44.9 points lower than in November 2023 (85.0). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Gaza and the West Bank (27.6%), Lebanon (27.4%), Syria (23.7%). Also this month: US presidential election 2024 (5 November 2024).
Day by day
| Day | Riftrate | Zone | Day change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 November 2024 | 49.2 | Neutral | ▼ −2.7 |
| 29 November 2024 | 51.9 | Neutral | ▼ −3.6 |
| 28 November 2024 | 55.5 | Neutral | ▼ −4.9 |
| 27 November 2024 | 60.3 | Tension | ▼ −2.1 |
| 26 November 2024 | 62.4 | Tension | ▼ −0.1 |
| 25 November 2024 | 62.5 | Tension | ▲ +0.9 |
| 24 November 2024 | 61.6 | Tension | ▲ +4.1 |
| 23 November 2024 | 57.5 | Tension | ▲ +6.3 |
| 22 November 2024 | 51.2 | Neutral | ▲ +6.4 |
| 21 November 2024 | 44.7 | Neutral | ▲ +7.6 |
| 20 November 2024 | 37.1 | Easing | ▲ +4.9 |
| 19 November 2024 | 32.2 | Easing | ▲ +4.5 |
| 18 November 2024 | 27.7 | Easing | ▲ +2.6 |
| 17 November 2024 | 25.1 | Easing | ▼ −0.1 |
| 16 November 2024 | 25.2 | Easing | ▼ −0.1 |
| 15 November 2024 | 25.3 | Easing | ▲ +0.3 |
| 14 November 2024 | 25.0 | Easing | ▲ +0.5 |
| 13 November 2024 | 24.5 | Easing | ▲ +1.2 |
| 12 November 2024 | 23.3 | Complacency | ▲ +0.1 |
| 11 November 2024 | 23.2 | Complacency | ▼ −0.5 |
| 10 November 2024 | 23.6 | Complacency | ▼ −1.6 |
| 9 November 2024 | 25.2 | Easing | ▼ −2.1 |
| 8 November 2024 | 27.3 | Easing | ▼ −3.0 |
| 7 November 2024 | 30.3 | Easing | ▼ −4.0 |
| 6 November 2024 | 34.3 | Easing | ▼ −4.7 |
| 5 November 2024 | 39.0 | Easing | ▼ −4.9 |
| 4 November 2024 | 44.0 | Easing | ▼ −3.7 |
| 3 November 2024 | 47.6 | Neutral | ▼ −3.5 |
| 2 November 2024 | 51.1 | Neutral | ▼ −5.0 |
| 1 November 2024 | 56.2 | Tension | ▼ −2.6 |
Frequently asked questions
How tense was the world in November 2024?
Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 40.1 (Easing) in November 2024: the 73rd tensest of 104 months since March 2018.
What was the tensest day of November 2024?
25 November 2024, when Riftrate read 62.5 (Tension).
Which countries were most tense in November 2024?
Gaza and the West Bank (27.6% of its news about armed violence), Lebanon (27.4% of its news about armed violence), Syria (23.7% of its news about armed violence).