RIFTRATE Get the gauge

The week in world tension

Every week on one page: the average, what moved, the most intense countries and market risk.

WeekDatesAverageZone
Week 44, 202626 Oct – 1 Nov 202647.7Neutral
Week 43, 202619–25 October 202664.6Tension
Week 42, 202612–18 October 202673.0Tension
Week 41, 20265–11 October 202656.8Tension
Week 40, 202628 Sep – 4 Oct 202645.8Neutral
Week 39, 202621–27 September 202641.4Easing
Week 38, 202614–20 September 202643.5Easing
Week 37, 20267–13 September 202649.4Neutral
Week 36, 202631 Aug – 6 Sep 202640.8Easing
Week 35, 202624–30 August 202642.3Easing
Week 34, 202617–23 August 202640.5Easing

How to read a weekly recap

Each recap averages the Riftrate World Tension Index over the week, from Monday to Sunday, on a scale from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis). It lists the signals that moved most, the countries where armed violence took the largest share of the news, and the three market risk indices for energy, oil shipping routes and the major economies. A weekly average smooths out the noise of single days: a week in the Tension zone (56 to 75) after several Neutral weeks is a clearer change than one tense day. For the day itself, read the daily brief; for the long view, the history since 2018. New recaps also arrive through the RSS feed.