Riftrate · 14–20 September 2026 and the 3 weeks before
The week in world tension: 14–20 September 2026
In week 38 of 2026 (14–20 September 2026), Riftrate averaged 43.5 (Easing), down 5.9 points from the week before. It peaked at 49.2 on 14 September 2026.
Average43.5Easing
Vs the week before▼ −5.9average to average
High49.214 September 2026
Low39.719 September 2026
The week in brief
The signals that moved most: diplomatic rupture (▼ −18.7) and media tone (▼ −17.0). Most intense: Yemen (30.6%), Gaza and the West Bank (29.4%), Saudi Arabia (18.5%). Biggest riser: Lithuania, up 8.3 points to 12.5% of its news about armed violence. Market risk at the end of the week: energy supply 91 (▼ −5.5), oil shipping routes 77 (▼ −18.6), major economies 70 (▼ −11.3).
Frequently asked questions
How tense was the world in week 38 of 2026?
Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 43.5 (Easing) from 14–20 September 2026, down 5.9 points from the week before.
Which countries were most tense in week 38 of 2026?
Yemen (30.6% of its news about armed violence), Gaza and the West Bank (29.4% of its news about armed violence), Saudi Arabia (18.5% of its news about armed violence).