Data behind the index
- The GDELT Project: events coded from news in more than 100 languages, read through Google BigQuery. Seven of the eight signals.
- Geopolitical Risk Index by Dario Caldara and Matteo Iacoviello (CC BY). The eighth signal.
Newsrooms in the news wire
17 newsrooms from every region, read through their public RSS feeds. Riftrate shows the headline, the source, the time and a link: the article belongs to its publisher and is read on its site.
Middle East
Europe
Americas
Africa
Asia-Pacific
International
Market data
Daily prices and rates from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, all in the public domain:
- Brent crude oil: series DCOILBRENTEU, U.S. Energy Information Administration
- US 10-year Treasury yield: series DGS10, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
- US dollar (broad index): series DTWEXBGS, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
- Swiss franc: series DEXSZUS, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
- Japanese yen: series DEXJPUS, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
- US natural gas (Henry Hub): series DHHNGSP, U.S. Energy Information Administration
- WTI crude oil: series DCOILWTICO, U.S. Energy Information Administration
- US 2-year Treasury yield: series DGS2, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
- Brazilian real: series DEXBZUS, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
- Mexican peso: series DEXMXUS, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
- Indian rupee: series DEXINUS, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
- South African rand: series DEXSFUS, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
- South Korean won: series DEXKOUS, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
- Taiwan dollar: series DEXTAUS, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
- Chinese yuan: series DEXCHUS, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
- British pound: series DEXUSUK, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
- Euro: series DEXUSEU, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
- Canadian dollar: series DEXCAUS, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Stock-market, volatility, credit and emerging-market stress: the OFR Financial Stress Index, Office of Financial Research, U.S. Department of the Treasury (public data). Licensed indices such as the S&P 500 are not reproduced.
Economic weights of the market risk indices
- U.S. Energy Information Administration, crude oil and condensate production January–November 2025, as ranked by Visual Capitalist
- OPEC Annual Statistical Bulletin 2026, natural gas production in 2025, as compiled by Wikipedia
- U.S. Energy Information Administration, World Oil Transit Chokepoints (June 2024), flows in 2023
- International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook, April 2026: GDP in current US dollars, 2026 projections
Events in the library
Every event in the library links to a public source describing it, usually Wikipedia or the press.
Scientific references
The GDELT event database (Leetaru and Schrodt, 2013), the CAMEO event code book (Gerner, Schrodt and others, 2002), the Goldstein conflict-cooperation scale (Goldstein, 1992), the Geopolitical Risk Index (Caldara and Iacoviello, 2022), the Economic Policy Uncertainty index (Baker, Bloom and Davis, 2016), oil supply shocks (Kilian, 2009), safe-haven currencies (Ranaldo and Söderlind, 2010), crises and stock returns (Berkman, Jacobsen and Lee, 2011; Brune and others, 2015), the OFR Financial Stress Index (Monin, 2019), the IMF’s work on geopolitical risk and asset prices (2025) and the event-study method (MacKinlay, 1997). Full references on the methodology page.
Maps
Country shapes from Natural Earth (public domain), through the world-atlas package by Mike Bostock.
Corrections
Spotted an error? Write to us from the contact page; corrections are listed on the methodology page.