Ukraine: how tense is it right now?
11.6% of the news located in Ukraine this week is about armed violence (war and terrorism): #15 of the 74 countries we track. Compared with its own history since 2017, that is around its usual level (54 out of 100).
Top story. US approves sale of 500 Patriot missiles to Ukraine, covered by 7 newsrooms in the last 36 hours.
| Week ending | Intensity | Nearby event |
|---|---|---|
| 4 January 2024 | 25.1% | — |
| 13 August 2024 | 24.6% | — |
| 5 August 2026 | 22.0% | — |
| 4 January 2023 | 21.5% | — |
| 16 August 2023 | 21.2% | — |
| Year | Average intensity | Highest week | Typical rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 15.8% | 22.0% | #7 |
| 2025 | 13.3% | 20.6% | #9 |
| 2024 | 16.2% | 25.1% | #10 |
| 2023 | 16.1% | 22.9% | #7 |
| 2022 | 13.1% | 18.0% | #9 |
| 2021 | 7.8% | 10.9% | #23 |
| 2020 | 7.6% | 15.1% | #23 |
| 2019 | 7.0% | 10.8% | #25 |
| 2018 | 8.9% | 14.3% | #17 |
| 2017 | 9.7% | 14.8% | #17 |
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All countriesFrequently asked questions
How tense is Ukraine right now?
11.6% of the news located in Ukraine over the last 7 days was about armed violence (war and terrorism), which ranks it #15 of the 74 countries Riftrate tracks.
Is Ukraine more tense than usual?
Compared with its own history since 2017, Ukraine is around its usual level: it has been calmer on 54% of days.
When was Ukraine most tense since 2017?
The highest reading was 25.1%, in the 7 days to 4 January 2024.
Which countries in Europe are the most tense right now?
Ukraine (11.6%), Russia (9.6%), France (5.9%).
Where does this data come from?
From the GDELT Project, which codes events reported in the world’s news in more than 100 languages and locates them. Riftrate measures the share of each country’s news about armed violence, excluding ordinary crime and policing. It measures the news, not casualties.
How it is measured: GDELT locates every event reported in the news. We take all the coverage of events located in the country over 7 days and measure the part about armed violence: war and terrorism, excluding ordinary crime and policing. It does not depend on the size of the country or on how many newspapers cover it. It measures the news, not the number of victims. Methodology