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Ukraine: how tense is it right now?

11.6% of the news located in Ukraine this week is about armed violence (war and terrorism): #15 of the 74 countries we track. Compared with its own history since 2017, that is around its usual level (54 out of 100).

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Armed-conflict intensity11.6%of its news, last 7 days
Rank#15of 74 countries
Vs its own history54around its usual level
Share of the world’s war news6.7%weighed by severity
Ukraine · share of its news about armed violence, last 12 months
5.9%11.9%17.8%NovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct

Top story. US approves sale of 500 Patriot missiles to Ukraine, covered by 7 newsrooms in the last 36 hours.

31 OctDE-ESCALATIONEvacuees from Russia-occupied city where residents ate weeds arrive in UkraineBBC News31 OctDIPLOMACYZelensky arrives in Istanbul for 'important talks' with Turkey's ErdoganKyiv Independent31 OctWARUS approves sale of 500 Patriot missiles to UkraineBBC News31 OctWORLDRussian attacks kill 5, injure at least 46 as Ukraine faces 'difficult' energy situationKyiv Independent31 OctWARHundreds from Russian-occupied Oleshky land in Belarus en route to UkraineAl Jazeera31 OctWORLDWhy Ukraine has launched a platform for citizens considering a future returnKyiv Independent31 OctDIPLOMACYLavrov denies Kyiv Independent reporting on Russian push for Putin-Zelensky phone callKyiv Independent31 OctWARZelenskyy thanks US over deal for 500 Patriot missiles but warns delivery could take yearsEuronews
Ukraine · weekly average since 2017 (highest: 4 January 2024)
6.5%13.0%19.4%201820192020202120222023202420252026Russia invades Ukraine, 24 February 2022
Week endingIntensityNearby event
4 January 202425.1%—
13 August 202424.6%—
5 August 202622.0%—
4 January 202321.5%—
16 August 202321.2%—
YearAverage intensityHighest weekTypical rank
202615.8%22.0%#7
202513.3%20.6%#9
202416.2%25.1%#10
202316.1%22.9%#7
202213.1%18.0%#9
20217.8%10.9%#23
20207.6%15.1%#23
20197.0%10.8%#25
20188.9%14.3%#17
20179.7%14.8%#17

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Frequently asked questions

How tense is Ukraine right now?

11.6% of the news located in Ukraine over the last 7 days was about armed violence (war and terrorism), which ranks it #15 of the 74 countries Riftrate tracks.

Is Ukraine more tense than usual?

Compared with its own history since 2017, Ukraine is around its usual level: it has been calmer on 54% of days.

When was Ukraine most tense since 2017?

The highest reading was 25.1%, in the 7 days to 4 January 2024.

Which countries in Europe are the most tense right now?

Ukraine (11.6%), Russia (9.6%), France (5.9%).

Where does this data come from?

From the GDELT Project, which codes events reported in the world’s news in more than 100 languages and locates them. Riftrate measures the share of each country’s news about armed violence, excluding ordinary crime and policing. It measures the news, not casualties.

How it is measured: GDELT locates every event reported in the news. We take all the coverage of events located in the country over 7 days and measure the part about armed violence: war and terrorism, excluding ordinary crime and policing. It does not depend on the size of the country or on how many newspapers cover it. It measures the news, not the number of victims. Methodology