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Belarus: how tense is it right now?

4.7% of the news located in Belarus this week is about armed violence (war and terrorism): #48 of the 74 countries we track. Compared with its own history since 2017, that is below its usual level (26 out of 100).

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Armed-conflict intensity4.7%of its news, last 7 days
Rank#48of 74 countries
Vs its own history26below its usual level
Share of the world’s war news0.13%weighed by severity
Belarus · share of its news about armed violence, last 12 months
4.5%9.0%13.5%NovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct
31 OctWARHundreds from Russian-occupied Oleshky land in Belarus en route to UkraineAl Jazeera
Belarus · weekly average since 2017 (highest: 4 January 2023)
4.0%8.0%12.0%201820192020202120222023202420252026
Week endingIntensityNearby event
4 January 202317.9%—
2 January 202616.6%—
22 June 202615.6%—
22 May 202615.4%—
8 July 202215.2%—
YearAverage intensityHighest weekTypical rank
20267.9%16.6%#27
20255.7%15.3%#41
20247.5%14.2%#26
20237.7%17.9%#26
20229.8%15.2%#17
20215.2%8.2%#46
20204.2%8.1%#57
20194.8%9.6%#47
20185.5%10.7%#42
20175.8%10.7%#42

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Frequently asked questions

How tense is Belarus right now?

4.7% of the news located in Belarus over the last 7 days was about armed violence (war and terrorism), which ranks it #48 of the 74 countries Riftrate tracks.

Is Belarus more tense than usual?

Compared with its own history since 2017, Belarus is below its usual level: it has been calmer on 26% of days.

When was Belarus most tense since 2017?

The highest reading was 17.9%, in the 7 days to 4 January 2023.

Which countries in Europe are the most tense right now?

Ukraine (11.6%), Russia (9.6%), France (5.9%).

Where does this data come from?

From the GDELT Project, which codes events reported in the world’s news in more than 100 languages and locates them. Riftrate measures the share of each country’s news about armed violence, excluding ordinary crime and policing. It measures the news, not casualties.

How it is measured: GDELT locates every event reported in the news. We take all the coverage of events located in the country over 7 days and measure the part about armed violence: war and terrorism, excluding ordinary crime and policing. It does not depend on the size of the country or on how many newspapers cover it. It measures the news, not the number of victims. Methodology