RIFTRATE Get the gauge

World tension in June 2026

In June 2026, Riftrate averaged 41.3 (Easing), down 2.6 points from May 2026. It peaked at 57.5 on 12 June 2026 and was lowest at 24.0 on 27 June 2026.

Average41.3Easing
High57.512 June 2026
Low24.027 June 2026
Change vs May▼ −2.6average to average
Riftrate · June 2026
025507510017 May24 May31 May7 Jun14 Jun21 Jun28 Jun
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
SignalAveragevs May
Escalation momentum25▲ +15.4
Media tone18▼ −13.8
Geopolitical risk (GPR)80▼ −10.8
Domestic unrest17▼ −4.8
Diplomatic rupture54▼ −2.9
Economic coercion30▼ −2.8
War & military42▲ +2.1
Terrorism & mass violence41▼ −0.3

June 2026 in context

By its average, June 2026 was the 71st tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 4 of its 30 days in Tension or Crisis and 16 in Easing or Complacency. That is 8.1 points lower than in June 2025 (49.5). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Gaza and the West Bank (27.2%), Lebanon (20.5%), Israel (18.8%).

Day by day
DayRiftrateZoneDay change
30 June 202625.0Easing▲ +0.1
29 June 202624.9Easing▲ +0.4
28 June 202624.5Complacency▲ +0.5
27 June 202624.0Complacency▼ −1.8
26 June 202625.9Easing▼ −1.9
25 June 202627.8Easing▼ −1.9
24 June 202629.7Easing▼ −2.9
23 June 202632.6Easing▼ −1.8
22 June 202634.4Easing▼ −0.8
21 June 202635.2Easing▼ −1.2
20 June 202636.4Easing▼ −0.6
19 June 202636.9Easing▼ −1.5
18 June 202638.5Easing▼ −3.8
17 June 202642.3Easing▼ −4.6
16 June 202646.8Neutral▼ −4.3
15 June 202651.2Neutral▼ −4.8
14 June 202655.9Tension▼ −1.5
13 June 202657.4Tension▼ −0.1
12 June 202657.5Tension▲ +1.2
11 June 202656.4Tension▲ +2.2
10 June 202654.2Neutral▲ +1.5
9 June 202652.7Neutral▲ +2.1
8 June 202650.6Neutral▲ +3.2
7 June 202647.4Neutral▲ +0.8
6 June 202646.6Neutral▼ −1.3
5 June 202647.9Neutral▼ −1.1
4 June 202649.0Neutral▲ +2.1
3 June 202646.9Neutral▲ +4.4
2 June 202642.4Easing▲ +3.3
1 June 202639.2Easing▲ +1.5
Previous: May 2026All of 2026Next: July 2026

Frequently asked questions

How tense was the world in June 2026?

Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 41.3 (Easing) in June 2026: the 71st tensest of 104 months since March 2018.

What was the tensest day of June 2026?

12 June 2026, when Riftrate read 57.5 (Tension).

Which countries were most tense in June 2026?

Gaza and the West Bank (27.2% of its news about armed violence), Lebanon (20.5% of its news about armed violence), Israel (18.8% of its news about armed violence).