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Middle East

Lebanon: how tense is it right now?

14.4% of the news located in Lebanon this week is about armed violence (war and terrorism): #10 of the 74 countries we track. Compared with its own history since 2017, that is above its usual level (73 out of 100).

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Armed-conflict intensity14.4%of its news, last 7 days
Rank#10of 74 countries
Vs its own history73above its usual level
Share of the world’s war news0.44%weighed by severity
Lebanon · share of its news about armed violence, last 12 months
8.7%17.4%26.2%NovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct
31 OctWORLDLebanon charges 13 over confiscated Hezbollah explosivesAl Jazeera31 OctWARIsraeli air strikes target southern Lebanese town of Kfar TebnitMiddle East Eye
Lebanon · weekly average since 2017 (highest: 23 August 2024)
9.4%18.8%28.2%201820192020202120222023202420252026
Week endingIntensityNearby event
23 August 202437.4%—
2 January 202437.0%—
20 July 202435.7%—
30 March 202433.9%—
17 November 202333.5%—
YearAverage intensityHighest weekTypical rank
202618.2%32.3%#5
202514.0%26.0%#9
202426.5%37.4%#3
202314.1%35.8%#19
20226.4%13.5%#37
20217.4%24.9%#33
20206.8%16.2%#30
20197.6%19.8%#25
20188.4%16.2%#19
201711.1%28.9%#17

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Frequently asked questions

How tense is Lebanon right now?

14.4% of the news located in Lebanon over the last 7 days was about armed violence (war and terrorism), which ranks it #10 of the 74 countries Riftrate tracks.

Is Lebanon more tense than usual?

Compared with its own history since 2017, Lebanon is above its usual level: it has been calmer on 73% of days.

When was Lebanon most tense since 2017?

The highest reading was 37.4%, in the 7 days to 23 August 2024.

Which countries in Middle East are the most tense right now?

Yemen (29.3%), Gaza and the West Bank (23.7%), Jordan (22.9%).

Where does this data come from?

From the GDELT Project, which codes events reported in the world’s news in more than 100 languages and locates them. Riftrate measures the share of each country’s news about armed violence, excluding ordinary crime and policing. It measures the news, not casualties.

How it is measured: GDELT locates every event reported in the news. We take all the coverage of events located in the country over 7 days and measure the part about armed violence: war and terrorism, excluding ordinary crime and policing. It does not depend on the size of the country or on how many newspapers cover it. It measures the news, not the number of victims. Methodology