RIFTRATE Get the gauge

World tension in July 2024

In July 2024, Riftrate averaged 30.9 (Easing), down 3.1 points from June 2024. It peaked at 49.9 on 21 July 2024 and was lowest at 16.2 on 10 July 2024.

Average30.9Easing
High49.921 July 2024
Low16.210 July 2024
Change vs June▼ −3.1average to average
Riftrate · July 2024
025507510016 Jun23 Jun30 Jun7 Jul14 Jul21 Jul28 Jul
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
SignalAveragevs Jun
Escalation momentum42▲ +31.2
Geopolitical risk (GPR)29▼ −23.7
Domestic unrest21▼ −9.8
Media tone28▲ +8.1
War & military38▼ −6.3
Terrorism & mass violence63▲ +5.8
Economic coercion27▼ −5.4
Diplomatic rupture21▼ −4.9

July 2024 in context

By its average, July 2024 was the 93rd tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 0 of its 31 days in Tension or Crisis and 26 in Easing or Complacency. That is 41.1 points lower than in July 2023 (72.0). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Gaza and the West Bank (31.7%), Lebanon (29.7%), Myanmar (27.3%). Also this month: UK election: Labour landslide (4 July 2024).

Day by day
DayRiftrateZoneDay change
31 July 202443.0Easing▲ +8.6
30 July 202434.5Easing▲ +3.9
29 July 202430.5Easing0.0
28 July 202430.5Easing▼ −2.5
27 July 202433.0Easing▼ −2.6
26 July 202435.6Easing▼ −2.5
25 July 202438.1Easing▼ −2.7
24 July 202440.8Easing▼ −4.1
23 July 202444.9Neutral▼ −3.8
22 July 202448.6Neutral▼ −1.2
21 July 202449.9Neutral▲ +0.4
20 July 202449.5Neutral▲ +4.0
19 July 202445.5Neutral▲ +4.2
18 July 202441.3Easing▲ +3.7
17 July 202437.6Easing▲ +4.5
16 July 202433.1Easing▲ +4.5
15 July 202428.7Easing▲ +5.1
14 July 202423.6Complacency▲ +4.2
13 July 202419.3Complacency▲ +0.9
12 July 202418.4Complacency▲ +1.4
11 July 202417.0Complacency▲ +0.8
10 July 202416.2Complacency▼ −0.1
9 July 202416.2Complacency▼ −0.3
8 July 202416.5Complacency▼ −0.7
7 July 202417.2Complacency▼ −1.0
6 July 202418.2Complacency▼ −1.9
5 July 202420.1Complacency▼ −3.3
4 July 202423.4Complacency▼ −2.7
3 July 202426.2Easing▼ −2.6
2 July 202428.8Easing▼ −3.7
1 July 202432.5Easing▼ −4.6
Previous: June 2024All of 2024Next: August 2024

Frequently asked questions

How tense was the world in July 2024?

Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 30.9 (Easing) in July 2024: the 93rd tensest of 104 months since March 2018.

What was the tensest day of July 2024?

21 July 2024, when Riftrate read 49.9 (Neutral).

Which countries were most tense in July 2024?

Gaza and the West Bank (31.7% of its news about armed violence), Lebanon (29.7% of its news about armed violence), Myanmar (27.3% of its news about armed violence).