Riftrate · June 2024
World tension in June 2024
In June 2024, Riftrate averaged 34.0 (Easing), down 22.9 points from May 2024. It peaked at 43.4 on 1 June 2024 and was lowest at 27.3 on 14 June 2024.
Average34.0Easing
High43.41 June 2024
Low27.314 June 2024
Change vs May▼ −22.9average to average
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
| Signal | Average | vs May |
|---|---|---|
| Escalation momentum | 11 | ▼ −35.3 |
| Domestic unrest | 31 | ▼ −27.2 |
| Diplomatic rupture | 26 | ▼ −24.6 |
| Media tone | 20 | ▼ −20.8 |
| Terrorism & mass violence | 58 | ▼ −16.9 |
| Economic coercion | 32 | ▼ −12.1 |
| Geopolitical risk (GPR) | 52 | ▼ −11.8 |
| War & military | 44 | ▼ −7.2 |
June 2024 in context
By its average, June 2024 was the 89th tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 0 of its 30 days in Tension or Crisis and 30 in Easing or Complacency. That is 36.0 points lower than in June 2023 (70.0). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Gaza and the West Bank (30.2%), Yemen (26.8%), Lebanon (26.3%). Also this month: Mexico elects Claudia Sheinbaum (2 June 2024), India: Modi’s BJP loses its majority (4 June 2024), France: snap election called (9 June 2024).
Day by day
| Day | Riftrate | Zone | Day change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 June 2024 | 37.1 | Easing | ▼ −3.3 |
| 29 June 2024 | 40.4 | Easing | ▼ −1.8 |
| 28 June 2024 | 42.1 | Easing | ▲ +0.1 |
| 27 June 2024 | 42.0 | Easing | ▲ +1.6 |
| 26 June 2024 | 40.5 | Easing | ▲ +3.0 |
| 25 June 2024 | 37.5 | Easing | ▲ +2.7 |
| 24 June 2024 | 34.8 | Easing | ▲ +2.6 |
| 23 June 2024 | 32.1 | Easing | ▲ +0.5 |
| 22 June 2024 | 31.6 | Easing | ▲ +0.1 |
| 21 June 2024 | 31.5 | Easing | ▲ +1.2 |
| 20 June 2024 | 30.4 | Easing | 0.0 |
| 19 June 2024 | 30.4 | Easing | ▼ −0.6 |
| 18 June 2024 | 31.0 | Easing | ▲ +0.6 |
| 17 June 2024 | 30.4 | Easing | ▲ +1.0 |
| 16 June 2024 | 29.4 | Easing | ▲ +1.2 |
| 15 June 2024 | 28.2 | Easing | ▲ +0.9 |
| 14 June 2024 | 27.3 | Easing | ▼ −0.5 |
| 13 June 2024 | 27.8 | Easing | ▼ −0.3 |
| 12 June 2024 | 28.0 | Easing | ▲ +0.2 |
| 11 June 2024 | 27.8 | Easing | ▼ −0.2 |
| 10 June 2024 | 28.0 | Easing | ▼ −1.0 |
| 9 June 2024 | 29.0 | Easing | ▼ −1.4 |
| 8 June 2024 | 30.4 | Easing | ▼ −2.8 |
| 7 June 2024 | 33.2 | Easing | ▼ −2.8 |
| 6 June 2024 | 36.1 | Easing | ▼ −0.9 |
| 5 June 2024 | 37.0 | Easing | ▼ −2.3 |
| 4 June 2024 | 39.3 | Easing | ▼ −2.0 |
| 3 June 2024 | 41.3 | Easing | ▼ −1.4 |
| 2 June 2024 | 42.7 | Easing | ▼ −0.7 |
| 1 June 2024 | 43.4 | Easing | ▲ +1.2 |
Frequently asked questions
How tense was the world in June 2024?
Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 34.0 (Easing) in June 2024: the 89th tensest of 104 months since March 2018.
What was the tensest day of June 2024?
1 June 2024, when Riftrate read 43.4 (Easing).
Which countries were most tense in June 2024?
Gaza and the West Bank (30.2% of its news about armed violence), Yemen (26.8% of its news about armed violence), Lebanon (26.3% of its news about armed violence).