Riftrate · May 2024
World tension in May 2024
In May 2024, Riftrate averaged 56.9 (Tension), down 15.9 points from April 2024. It peaked at 64.6 on 8 May 2024 and was lowest at 41.3 on 30 May 2024.
Average56.9Tension
High64.68 May 2024
Low41.330 May 2024
Change vs April▼ −15.9average to average
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
| Signal | Average | vs Apr |
|---|---|---|
| Escalation momentum | 46 | ▼ −30.0 |
| Media tone | 41 | ▼ −27.1 |
| War & military | 52 | ▼ −18.8 |
| Geopolitical risk (GPR) | 64 | ▼ −16.5 |
| Domestic unrest | 58 | ▲ +13.8 |
| Terrorism & mass violence | 75 | ▼ −8.1 |
| Economic coercion | 45 | ▼ −1.7 |
| Diplomatic rupture | 51 | ▼ −0.8 |
May 2024 in context
By its average, May 2024 was the 38th tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 23 of its 31 days in Tension or Crisis and 4 in Easing or Complacency. That is 15.1 points lower than in May 2023 (72.0). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Gaza and the West Bank (26.0%), Myanmar (24.9%), Yemen (23.7%). Also this month: South Africa: ANC loses its majority (29 May 2024).
Day by day
| Day | Riftrate | Zone | Day change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May 2024 | 42.3 | Easing | ▲ +1.0 |
| 30 May 2024 | 41.3 | Easing | ▼ −0.6 |
| 29 May 2024 | 41.8 | Easing | ▼ −1.4 |
| 28 May 2024 | 43.2 | Easing | ▼ −2.4 |
| 27 May 2024 | 45.6 | Neutral | ▼ −1.6 |
| 26 May 2024 | 47.2 | Neutral | ▼ −2.0 |
| 25 May 2024 | 49.3 | Neutral | ▼ −3.3 |
| 24 May 2024 | 52.6 | Neutral | ▼ −3.2 |
| 23 May 2024 | 55.8 | Tension | ▼ −2.8 |
| 22 May 2024 | 58.6 | Tension | ▼ −1.7 |
| 21 May 2024 | 60.3 | Tension | ▲ +0.3 |
| 20 May 2024 | 60.1 | Tension | ▲ +0.4 |
| 19 May 2024 | 59.7 | Tension | ▲ +0.6 |
| 18 May 2024 | 59.1 | Tension | ▲ +0.9 |
| 17 May 2024 | 58.2 | Tension | ▲ +0.2 |
| 16 May 2024 | 58.0 | Tension | ▼ −0.3 |
| 15 May 2024 | 58.4 | Tension | ▼ −0.6 |
| 14 May 2024 | 59.0 | Tension | ▼ −1.8 |
| 13 May 2024 | 60.8 | Tension | ▼ −1.0 |
| 12 May 2024 | 61.9 | Tension | ▼ −0.9 |
| 11 May 2024 | 62.7 | Tension | ▼ −0.8 |
| 10 May 2024 | 63.5 | Tension | ▼ −0.7 |
| 9 May 2024 | 64.2 | Tension | ▼ −0.4 |
| 8 May 2024 | 64.6 | Tension | ▲ +1.3 |
| 7 May 2024 | 63.4 | Tension | ▲ +1.1 |
| 6 May 2024 | 62.2 | Tension | 0.0 |
| 5 May 2024 | 62.3 | Tension | ▲ +0.1 |
| 4 May 2024 | 62.2 | Tension | ▼ −0.5 |
| 3 May 2024 | 62.7 | Tension | ▲ +1.0 |
| 2 May 2024 | 61.6 | Tension | ▲ +0.4 |
| 1 May 2024 | 61.3 | Tension | ▲ +0.3 |
Frequently asked questions
How tense was the world in May 2024?
Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 56.9 (Tension) in May 2024: the 38th tensest of 104 months since March 2018.
What was the tensest day of May 2024?
8 May 2024, when Riftrate read 64.6 (Tension).
Which countries were most tense in May 2024?
Gaza and the West Bank (26.0% of its news about armed violence), Myanmar (24.9% of its news about armed violence), Yemen (23.7% of its news about armed violence).