Riftrate · April 2024
World tension in April 2024
In April 2024, Riftrate averaged 72.8 (Tension), up 20.6 points from March 2024. It peaked at 91.7 on 20 April 2024 and was lowest at 61.0 on 30 April 2024. Major event: Iran strikes Israel (13 April 2024).
Average72.8Tension
High91.720 April 2024
Low61.030 April 2024
Change vs March▲ +20.6average to average
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
| Signal | Average | vs Mar |
|---|---|---|
| Escalation momentum | 76 | ▲ +49.5 |
| Media tone | 68 | ▲ +30.0 |
| Diplomatic rupture | 52 | ▲ +15.4 |
| Geopolitical risk (GPR) | 81 | ▲ +12.5 |
| War & military | 70 | ▲ +11.3 |
| Terrorism & mass violence | 83 | ▲ +9.3 |
| Economic coercion | 46 | ▲ +8.5 |
| Domestic unrest | 44 | ▼ −4.4 |
April 2024 in context
By its average, April 2024 was the 12th tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 30 of its 30 days in Tension or Crisis and 0 in Easing or Complacency. That is 3.9 points lower than in April 2023 (76.7). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Syria (30.7%), Gaza and the West Bank (29.0%), Lebanon (28.9%).
Day by day
| Day | Riftrate | Zone | Day change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 April 2024 | 61.0 | Tension | ▼ −0.5 |
| 29 April 2024 | 61.5 | Tension | ▼ −1.6 |
| 28 April 2024 | 63.1 | Tension | ▼ −2.3 |
| 27 April 2024 | 65.4 | Tension | ▼ −3.4 |
| 26 April 2024 | 68.9 | Tension | ▼ −5.5 |
| 25 April 2024 | 74.4 | Tension | ▼ −2.2 |
| 24 April 2024 | 76.6 | Crisis | ▼ −4.5 |
| 23 April 2024 | 81.1 | Crisis | ▼ −4.6 |
| 22 April 2024 | 85.7 | Crisis | ▼ −3.7 |
| 21 April 2024 | 89.4 | Crisis | ▼ −2.3 |
| 20 April 2024 | 91.7 | Crisis | ▲ +0.6 |
| 19 April 2024 | 91.1 | Crisis | ▲ +1.9 |
| 18 April 2024 | 89.2 | Crisis | ▲ +2.3 |
| 17 April 2024 | 86.9 | Crisis | ▲ +3.2 |
| 16 April 2024 | 83.7 | Crisis | ▲ +4.6 |
| 15 April 2024 | 79.1 | Crisis | ▲ +5.9 |
| 14 April 2024 | 73.2 | Tension | ▲ +6.0 |
| 13 April 2024 | 67.2 | Tension | ▲ +2.1 |
| 12 April 2024 | 65.1 | Tension | ▲ +0.2 |
| 11 April 2024 | 64.9 | Tension | ▼ −1.6 |
| 10 April 2024 | 66.6 | Tension | ▼ −1.8 |
| 9 April 2024 | 68.4 | Tension | ▼ −2.6 |
| 8 April 2024 | 71.0 | Tension | ▲ +0.3 |
| 7 April 2024 | 70.7 | Tension | ▲ +2.1 |
| 6 April 2024 | 68.5 | Tension | ▲ +2.1 |
| 5 April 2024 | 66.4 | Tension | ▲ +1.5 |
| 4 April 2024 | 64.9 | Tension | ▲ +1.5 |
| 3 April 2024 | 63.4 | Tension | ▲ +0.6 |
| 2 April 2024 | 62.8 | Tension | 0.0 |
| 1 April 2024 | 62.8 | Tension | ▼ −2.5 |
Frequently asked questions
How tense was the world in April 2024?
Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 72.8 (Tension) in April 2024: the 12th tensest of 104 months since March 2018.
What was the tensest day of April 2024?
20 April 2024, when Riftrate read 91.7 (Crisis).
Which countries were most tense in April 2024?
Syria (30.7% of its news about armed violence), Gaza and the West Bank (29.0% of its news about armed violence), Lebanon (28.9% of its news about armed violence).