RIFTRATE Get the gauge

World tension in March 2024

In March 2024, Riftrate averaged 52.2 (Neutral), down 10.9 points from February 2024. It peaked at 69.2 on 28 March 2024 and was lowest at 40.7 on 11 March 2024.

Average52.2Neutral
High69.228 March 2024
Low40.711 March 2024
Change vs February▼ −10.9average to average
Riftrate · March 2024
025507510015 Feb22 Feb29 Feb7 Mar14 Mar21 Mar28 Mar
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
SignalAveragevs Feb
Media tone38▼ −17.7
Economic coercion38▼ −14.6
Diplomatic rupture36▼ −10.3
Geopolitical risk (GPR)68▼ −8.3
War & military59▼ −7.9
Terrorism & mass violence73▼ −5.0
Domestic unrest48▼ −4.0
Escalation momentum27▲ +0.5

March 2024 in context

By its average, March 2024 was the 47th tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 10 of its 31 days in Tension or Crisis and 10 in Easing or Complacency. That is 5.1 points lower than in March 2023 (57.3). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Yemen (30.9%), Lebanon (26.8%), Myanmar (26.0%).

Day by day
DayRiftrateZoneDay change
31 March 202465.3Tension▼ −2.3
30 March 202467.6Tension▼ −1.3
29 March 202468.9Tension▼ −0.3
28 March 202469.2Tension▲ +0.7
27 March 202468.5Tension▲ +2.4
26 March 202466.1Tension▲ +3.2
25 March 202462.8Tension▲ +4.8
24 March 202458.1Tension▲ +4.5
23 March 202453.6Neutral▲ +3.9
22 March 202449.6Neutral▲ +1.3
21 March 202448.3Neutral▼ −0.5
20 March 202448.8Neutral0.0
19 March 202448.7Neutral▲ +1.0
18 March 202447.7Neutral▲ +2.1
17 March 202445.6Neutral▲ +1.3
16 March 202444.4Easing▲ +0.4
15 March 202443.9Easing▲ +0.1
14 March 202443.8Easing▲ +0.9
13 March 202442.9Easing▲ +1.0
12 March 202442.0Easing▲ +1.3
11 March 202440.7Easing▼ −1.4
10 March 202442.1Easing▼ −0.5
9 March 202442.6Easing▼ −0.3
8 March 202442.9Easing▼ −1.2
7 March 202444.1Easing▼ −2.3
6 March 202446.4Neutral▼ −2.9
5 March 202449.3Neutral▼ −3.1
4 March 202452.5Neutral▼ −2.5
3 March 202455.0Neutral▼ −2.1
2 March 202457.0Tension▼ −2.6
1 March 202459.7Tension▼ −2.0
Previous: February 2024All of 2024Next: April 2024

Frequently asked questions

How tense was the world in March 2024?

Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 52.2 (Neutral) in March 2024: the 47th tensest of 104 months since March 2018.

What was the tensest day of March 2024?

28 March 2024, when Riftrate read 69.2 (Tension).

Which countries were most tense in March 2024?

Yemen (30.9% of its news about armed violence), Lebanon (26.8% of its news about armed violence), Myanmar (26.0% of its news about armed violence).