RIFTRATE Get the gauge

World tension in February 2024

In February 2024, Riftrate averaged 63.1 (Tension), down 11.2 points from January 2024. It peaked at 75.3 on 4 February 2024 and was lowest at 55.8 on 11 February 2024.

Average63.1Tension
High75.34 February 2024
Low55.811 February 2024
Change vs January▼ −11.2average to average
Riftrate · February 2024
025507510017 Jan24 Jan31 Jan7 Feb14 Feb21 Feb28 Feb
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
SignalAveragevs Jan
Escalation momentum26▼ −43.4
Media tone56▼ −24.6
Economic coercion52▲ +22.3
Domestic unrest52▲ +19.4
War & military67▼ −16.7
Terrorism & mass violence78▼ −8.8
Geopolitical risk (GPR)76▼ −6.7
Diplomatic rupture47▲ +4.6

February 2024 in context

By its average, February 2024 was the 24th tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 29 of its 29 days in Tension or Crisis and 0 in Easing or Complacency. That is 4.5 points lower than in February 2023 (67.5). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Yemen (35.7%), Syria (27.0%), Lebanon (25.5%).

Day by day
DayRiftrateZoneDay change
29 February 202461.7Tension▼ −1.5
28 February 202463.1Tension▼ −1.3
27 February 202464.4Tension▼ −0.4
26 February 202464.8Tension▲ +0.9
25 February 202464.0Tension▲ +1.3
24 February 202462.7Tension▲ +1.3
23 February 202461.4Tension▲ +1.3
22 February 202460.0Tension▲ +1.2
21 February 202458.8Tension▲ +1.5
20 February 202457.3Tension0.0
19 February 202457.3Tension▼ −0.9
18 February 202458.2Tension▼ −1.6
17 February 202459.8Tension▼ −1.0
16 February 202460.8Tension▲ +0.3
15 February 202460.5Tension▲ +1.2
14 February 202459.4Tension▲ +1.3
13 February 202458.1Tension▲ +2.0
12 February 202456.1Tension▲ +0.3
11 February 202455.8Tension▼ −2.6
10 February 202458.4Tension▼ −3.0
9 February 202461.5Tension▼ −2.3
8 February 202463.8Tension▼ −2.7
7 February 202466.5Tension▼ −3.9
6 February 202470.4Tension▼ −3.3
5 February 202473.8Tension▼ −1.5
4 February 202475.3Tension▲ +1.2
3 February 202474.1Tension▲ +2.4
2 February 202471.7Tension▲ +1.8
1 February 202469.9Tension▲ +0.8
Previous: January 2024All of 2024Next: March 2024

Frequently asked questions

How tense was the world in February 2024?

Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 63.1 (Tension) in February 2024: the 24th tensest of 104 months since March 2018.

What was the tensest day of February 2024?

4 February 2024, when Riftrate read 75.3 (Tension).

Which countries were most tense in February 2024?

Yemen (35.7% of its news about armed violence), Syria (27.0% of its news about armed violence), Lebanon (25.5% of its news about armed violence).