Understand world tension
Plain answers to the big questions, how Riftrate compares with other indices, and what each of its eight signals measures.
Understanding world events
The geopolitical fear & greed index, explainedHow Riftrate applies the idea of the market fear and greed index to world politics: one number from 0 to 100, five…Is World War 3 coming?Nobody can predict a world war. What today's world tension reading says, how it compares with the worst moments since…What is geopolitical risk?Geopolitical risk is the threat that wars, terrorism and tensions between states disrupt the world. How it is measured…Which countries are at war right now?The countries where armed violence takes the largest share of the news, ranked every hour for 74 countries, with…
Markets, money and business
Geopolitical risk for businessesHow companies monitor geopolitical risk: country exposure, sanctions, staff travel and currencies, with free daily data…How do elections move currencies?What the real, peso, rupee, rand, pound and other currencies did around elections since 2018, with charts and the size…How do wars affect markets?What oil, stocks, Treasury yields, the dollar, the Swiss franc and the yen did after every war and attack since 2018…How do wars affect oil prices?Why wars push oil up only when they threaten supply or shipping routes: Hormuz, the Red Sea, Russia. What Brent did…Safe-haven assets in a crisisWhich safe havens rose after wars since 2018: the Swiss franc, the yen, US Treasuries and the dollar, with the typical…
Riftrate compared
Geopolitical risk indices comparedThe main ways to measure geopolitical risk side by side: the Caldara–Iacoviello GPR index, BlackRock's BGRI, the…Riftrate vs the CNN Fear & Greed IndexCNN's Fear & Greed Index reads stock market sentiment; Riftrate reads world tension in the news. How they differ and…Riftrate vs the Doomsday ClockThe Doomsday Clock is an annual expert judgement on threats to humanity; Riftrate is an hourly, data-driven measure of…Riftrate vs the Geopolitical Risk Index (GPR)The Caldara–Iacoviello Geopolitical Risk Index is a newspaper-based academic measure and one of Riftrate's eight…
The eight signals
Go further
Events and markets libraryWars, elections, sanctions, coups and peace deals since 2018The daily briefThe day in world tension, in one pageDownload the dataCSV files, free under CC BY 4.0, with a citationMethodologyEvery formula, source and limitHow Riftrate helps youMarkets, business, travel, researchMarkets and crisesWhat oil, the dollar and safe havens didOur sourcesNewsrooms and data behind Riftrate