Figures updated · Text reviewed · By the Riftrate team · How the index is built
| Geopolitical Risk Index (GPR) | Riftrate | |
|---|---|---|
| Authors | Dario Caldara and Matteo Iacoviello, published in the American Economic Review in 2022 | Riftrate, independent |
| Method | Share of articles in major newspapers about geopolitical threats and acts | 8 signals: the GPR (20%) plus seven signals from the GDELT event database |
| Updated | Daily index published weekly, with a few days’ delay | Every hour |
| Scale | Index, 100 = average of a reference period | 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis) |
| History | Monthly since 1900, daily since 1985 | Daily since 2018 |
| Licence | CC BY | Free to consult and embed |
What Riftrate adds
The GPR reads a selection of major newspapers. Riftrate adds events coded from news in more than 100 languages, weighted by how hostile they are, how widely they are covered and which countries are involved, and it updates every hour instead of every week. When the two disagree, Riftrate shows both on the home page, in the list of signals.
Data: Caldara and Iacoviello, Geopolitical Risk Index (CC BY).