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Middle East

Syria: how tense is it right now?

14.7% of the news located in Syria this week is about armed violence (war and terrorism): #8 of the 74 countries we track. Compared with its own history since 2017, that is around its usual level (31 out of 100).

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Armed-conflict intensity14.7%of its news, last 7 days
Rank#8of 74 countries
Vs its own history31around its usual level
Share of the world’s war news0.89%weighed by severity
Syria · share of its news about armed violence, last 12 months
6.4%12.9%19.3%NovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct
Syria · weekly average since 2017 (highest: 31 December 2023)
9.9%19.8%29.7%201820192020202120222023202420252026Western strikes on Syria, 14 April 2018
Week endingIntensityNearby event
31 December 202338.5%—
30 October 202337.6%—
1 April 202435.1%—
29 November 202434.8%—
4 February 202434.5%—
YearAverage intensityHighest weekTypical rank
202611.8%22.1%#15
202513.9%33.5%#10
202422.1%38.2%#5
202317.3%38.5%#7
202217.0%29.1%#5
202116.2%29.2%#6
202018.5%30.7%#4
201918.9%30.1%#4
201820.7%29.8%#3
201721.4%29.5%#3

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Frequently asked questions

How tense is Syria right now?

14.7% of the news located in Syria over the last 7 days was about armed violence (war and terrorism), which ranks it #8 of the 74 countries Riftrate tracks.

Is Syria more tense than usual?

Compared with its own history since 2017, Syria is around its usual level: it has been calmer on 31% of days.

When was Syria most tense since 2017?

The highest reading was 38.5%, in the 7 days to 31 December 2023.

Which countries in Middle East are the most tense right now?

Yemen (29.3%), Gaza and the West Bank (23.7%), Jordan (22.9%).

Where does this data come from?

From the GDELT Project, which codes events reported in the world’s news in more than 100 languages and locates them. Riftrate measures the share of each country’s news about armed violence, excluding ordinary crime and policing. It measures the news, not casualties.

How it is measured: GDELT locates every event reported in the news. We take all the coverage of events located in the country over 7 days and measure the part about armed violence: war and terrorism, excluding ordinary crime and policing. It does not depend on the size of the country or on how many newspapers cover it. It measures the news, not the number of victims. Methodology