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Middle East

Turkey: how tense is it right now?

4.8% of the news located in Turkey this week is about armed violence (war and terrorism): #45 of the 74 countries we track. Compared with its own history since 2017, that is far below its usual level (4 out of 100).

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Armed-conflict intensity4.8%of its news, last 7 days
Rank#45of 74 countries
Vs its own history4far below its usual level
Share of the world’s war news1.1%weighed by severity
Turkey · share of its news about armed violence, last 12 months
3.6%7.2%10.8%NovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct
31 OctDIPLOMACYZelensky arrives in Istanbul for 'important talks' with Turkey's ErdoganKyiv Independent
Turkey · weekly average since 2017 (highest: 26 November 2022)
5.2%10.4%15.6%201820192020202120222023202420252026
Week endingIntensityNearby event
26 November 202221.4%—
4 January 201720.3%—
7 October 202319.1%—
14 October 201918.9%—
25 January 201818.6%—
YearAverage intensityHighest weekTypical rank
20266.8%13.4%#36
20256.1%10.9%#36
20247.4%14.7%#27
20236.6%19.1%#34
20227.1%21.4%#30
20217.2%14.0%#29
20207.9%15.3%#23
20198.5%18.9%#20
20188.7%18.6%#19
20178.1%20.3%#25

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Frequently asked questions

How tense is Turkey right now?

4.8% of the news located in Turkey over the last 7 days was about armed violence (war and terrorism), which ranks it #45 of the 74 countries Riftrate tracks.

Is Turkey more tense than usual?

Compared with its own history since 2017, Turkey is far below its usual level: it has been calmer on 4% of days.

When was Turkey most tense since 2017?

The highest reading was 21.4%, in the 7 days to 26 November 2022.

Which countries in Middle East are the most tense right now?

Yemen (29.3%), Gaza and the West Bank (23.7%), Jordan (22.9%).

Where does this data come from?

From the GDELT Project, which codes events reported in the world’s news in more than 100 languages and locates them. Riftrate measures the share of each country’s news about armed violence, excluding ordinary crime and policing. It measures the news, not casualties.

How it is measured: GDELT locates every event reported in the news. We take all the coverage of events located in the country over 7 days and measure the part about armed violence: war and terrorism, excluding ordinary crime and policing. It does not depend on the size of the country or on how many newspapers cover it. It measures the news, not the number of victims. Methodology