Riftrate · December 2023
World tension in December 2023
In December 2023, Riftrate averaged 68.9 (Tension), down 16.1 points from November 2023. It peaked at 78.7 on 9 December 2023 and was lowest at 60.8 on 26 December 2023.
Average68.9Tension
High78.79 December 2023
Low60.826 December 2023
Change vs November▼ −16.1average to average
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
| Signal | Average | vs Nov |
|---|---|---|
| Diplomatic rupture | 49 | ▼ −34.7 |
| Domestic unrest | 52 | ▼ −33.1 |
| War & military | 79 | ▼ −15.9 |
| Terrorism & mass violence | 88 | ▼ −11.4 |
| Escalation momentum | 50 | ▼ −10.5 |
| Geopolitical risk (GPR) | 74 | ▼ −10.4 |
| Economic coercion | 42 | ▼ −4.7 |
| Media tone | 56 | ▼ −0.3 |
December 2023 in context
By its average, December 2023 was the 16th tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 31 of its 31 days in Tension or Crisis and 0 in Easing or Complacency. That is 22.9 points higher than in December 2022 (46.0). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Gaza and the West Bank (29.0%), Yemen (28.3%), Lebanon (28.1%).
Day by day
| Day | Riftrate | Zone | Day change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 December 2023 | 68.9 | Tension | ▲ +2.4 |
| 30 December 2023 | 66.5 | Tension | ▲ +2.4 |
| 29 December 2023 | 64.1 | Tension | ▲ +2.6 |
| 28 December 2023 | 61.5 | Tension | ▲ +0.3 |
| 27 December 2023 | 61.2 | Tension | ▲ +0.4 |
| 26 December 2023 | 60.8 | Tension | ▼ −1.1 |
| 25 December 2023 | 61.9 | Tension | ▼ −2.1 |
| 24 December 2023 | 64.0 | Tension | ▼ −1.3 |
| 23 December 2023 | 65.3 | Tension | ▲ +0.5 |
| 22 December 2023 | 64.8 | Tension | ▼ −0.8 |
| 21 December 2023 | 65.6 | Tension | ▲ +0.1 |
| 20 December 2023 | 65.4 | Tension | ▼ −0.4 |
| 19 December 2023 | 65.8 | Tension | ▼ −0.3 |
| 18 December 2023 | 66.1 | Tension | 0.0 |
| 17 December 2023 | 66.1 | Tension | ▼ −0.5 |
| 16 December 2023 | 66.6 | Tension | ▼ −1.4 |
| 15 December 2023 | 68.0 | Tension | ▼ −1.7 |
| 14 December 2023 | 69.7 | Tension | ▼ −2.6 |
| 13 December 2023 | 72.3 | Tension | ▼ −1.8 |
| 12 December 2023 | 74.1 | Tension | ▼ −1.3 |
| 11 December 2023 | 75.4 | Tension | ▼ −2.2 |
| 10 December 2023 | 77.6 | Crisis | ▼ −1.2 |
| 9 December 2023 | 78.7 | Crisis | ▲ +0.1 |
| 8 December 2023 | 78.6 | Crisis | ▲ +1.1 |
| 7 December 2023 | 77.5 | Crisis | ▲ +1.6 |
| 6 December 2023 | 76.0 | Crisis | ▲ +1.9 |
| 5 December 2023 | 74.0 | Tension | ▲ +1.2 |
| 4 December 2023 | 72.8 | Tension | ▲ +2.3 |
| 3 December 2023 | 70.5 | Tension | ▲ +1.9 |
| 2 December 2023 | 68.6 | Tension | ▲ +0.7 |
| 1 December 2023 | 67.9 | Tension | ▲ +0.6 |
Frequently asked questions
How tense was the world in December 2023?
Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 68.9 (Tension) in December 2023: the 16th tensest of 104 months since March 2018.
What was the tensest day of December 2023?
9 December 2023, when Riftrate read 78.7 (Crisis).
Which countries were most tense in December 2023?
Gaza and the West Bank (29.0% of its news about armed violence), Yemen (28.3% of its news about armed violence), Lebanon (28.1% of its news about armed violence).