Riftrate · November 2023
World tension in November 2023
In November 2023, Riftrate averaged 85.0 (Crisis), down 2.4 points from October 2023. It peaked at 96.4 on 3 November 2023 and was lowest at 67.3 on 30 November 2023.
Average85.0Crisis
High96.43 November 2023
Low67.330 November 2023
Change vs October▼ −2.4average to average
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
| Signal | Average | vs Oct |
|---|---|---|
| Escalation momentum | 60 | ▼ −26.4 |
| Media tone | 56 | ▼ −18.8 |
| Domestic unrest | 85 | ▼ −9.6 |
| Diplomatic rupture | 83 | ▼ −7.4 |
| Geopolitical risk (GPR) | 84 | ▲ +6.9 |
| War & military | 95 | ▼ −3.9 |
| Economic coercion | 47 | ▼ −0.3 |
| Terrorism & mass violence | 99 | ▼ −0.2 |
November 2023 in context
By its average, November 2023 was the 5th tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 30 of its 30 days in Tension or Crisis and 0 in Easing or Complacency. That is 41.0 points higher than in November 2022 (44.0). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Lebanon (31.0%), Myanmar (30.3%), Syria (29.9%). Also this month: Israel–Hamas truce (24 November 2023).
Day by day
| Day | Riftrate | Zone | Day change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 November 2023 | 67.3 | Tension | ▼ −0.1 |
| 29 November 2023 | 67.4 | Tension | ▼ −1.2 |
| 28 November 2023 | 68.6 | Tension | ▼ −0.5 |
| 27 November 2023 | 69.0 | Tension | ▼ −1.5 |
| 26 November 2023 | 70.5 | Tension | ▼ −2.2 |
| 25 November 2023 | 72.8 | Tension | ▼ −2.5 |
| 24 November 2023 | 75.3 | Tension | ▼ −3.0 |
| 23 November 2023 | 78.3 | Crisis | ▼ −2.0 |
| 22 November 2023 | 80.3 | Crisis | ▼ −1.3 |
| 21 November 2023 | 81.6 | Crisis | ▼ −1.6 |
| 20 November 2023 | 83.2 | Crisis | ▼ −0.9 |
| 19 November 2023 | 84.1 | Crisis | ▼ −1.1 |
| 18 November 2023 | 85.2 | Crisis | ▼ −0.5 |
| 17 November 2023 | 85.6 | Crisis | ▼ −0.4 |
| 16 November 2023 | 86.0 | Crisis | ▼ −0.7 |
| 15 November 2023 | 86.7 | Crisis | ▼ −0.7 |
| 14 November 2023 | 87.4 | Crisis | ▼ −1.1 |
| 13 November 2023 | 88.5 | Crisis | ▼ −1.2 |
| 12 November 2023 | 89.7 | Crisis | ▼ −0.9 |
| 11 November 2023 | 90.6 | Crisis | ▼ −1.2 |
| 10 November 2023 | 91.8 | Crisis | ▼ −1.2 |
| 9 November 2023 | 93.0 | Crisis | ▼ −1.1 |
| 8 November 2023 | 94.1 | Crisis | ▼ −1.4 |
| 7 November 2023 | 95.5 | Crisis | ▼ −0.5 |
| 6 November 2023 | 96.1 | Crisis | ▼ −0.2 |
| 5 November 2023 | 96.3 | Crisis | ▼ −0.1 |
| 4 November 2023 | 96.4 | Crisis | 0.0 |
| 3 November 2023 | 96.4 | Crisis | ▲ +0.1 |
| 2 November 2023 | 96.3 | Crisis | ▲ +0.3 |
| 1 November 2023 | 96.0 | Crisis | ▲ +0.3 |
Frequently asked questions
How tense was the world in November 2023?
Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 85.0 (Crisis) in November 2023: the 5th tensest of 104 months since March 2018.
What was the tensest day of November 2023?
3 November 2023, when Riftrate read 96.4 (Crisis).
Which countries were most tense in November 2023?
Lebanon (31.0% of its news about armed violence), Myanmar (30.3% of its news about armed violence), Syria (29.9% of its news about armed violence).