Riftrate · August 2024
World tension in August 2024
In August 2024, Riftrate averaged 68.2 (Tension), up 37.3 points from July 2024. It peaked at 77.8 on 10 August 2024 and was lowest at 51.7 on 1 August 2024.
Average68.2Tension
High77.810 August 2024
Low51.71 August 2024
Change vs July▲ +37.3average to average
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
| Signal | Average | vs Jul |
|---|---|---|
| Media tone | 89 | ▲ +60.9 |
| Escalation momentum | 95 | ▲ +52.5 |
| Geopolitical risk (GPR) | 66 | ▲ +37.5 |
| Domestic unrest | 46 | ▲ +25.4 |
| War & military | 61 | ▲ +22.8 |
| Terrorism & mass violence | 85 | ▲ +21.8 |
| Diplomatic rupture | 40 | ▲ +18.5 |
| Economic coercion | 22 | ▼ −4.9 |
August 2024 in context
By its average, August 2024 was the 17th tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 30 of its 31 days in Tension or Crisis and 0 in Easing or Complacency. That is 8.9 points lower than in August 2023 (77.1). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Gaza and the West Bank (33.6%), Lebanon (29.9%), Yemen (25.4%).
Day by day
| Day | Riftrate | Zone | Day change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 August 2024 | 69.6 | Tension | ▲ +0.5 |
| 30 August 2024 | 69.1 | Tension | ▲ +0.6 |
| 29 August 2024 | 68.4 | Tension | ▲ +0.6 |
| 28 August 2024 | 67.8 | Tension | ▲ +1.7 |
| 27 August 2024 | 66.1 | Tension | ▲ +2.6 |
| 26 August 2024 | 63.5 | Tension | ▲ +2.7 |
| 25 August 2024 | 60.8 | Tension | ▲ +1.4 |
| 24 August 2024 | 59.3 | Tension | ▼ −2.3 |
| 23 August 2024 | 61.6 | Tension | ▼ −0.4 |
| 22 August 2024 | 62.0 | Tension | 0.0 |
| 21 August 2024 | 62.0 | Tension | ▼ −1.7 |
| 20 August 2024 | 63.7 | Tension | ▼ −1.9 |
| 19 August 2024 | 65.5 | Tension | ▼ −1.0 |
| 18 August 2024 | 66.6 | Tension | ▼ −0.8 |
| 17 August 2024 | 67.4 | Tension | ▼ −1.2 |
| 16 August 2024 | 68.6 | Tension | ▼ −2.2 |
| 15 August 2024 | 70.8 | Tension | ▼ −2.1 |
| 14 August 2024 | 72.9 | Tension | ▼ −1.7 |
| 13 August 2024 | 74.6 | Tension | ▼ −1.2 |
| 12 August 2024 | 75.8 | Crisis | ▼ −1.5 |
| 11 August 2024 | 77.3 | Crisis | ▼ −0.5 |
| 10 August 2024 | 77.8 | Crisis | ▲ +0.3 |
| 9 August 2024 | 77.5 | Crisis | 0.0 |
| 8 August 2024 | 77.5 | Crisis | ▲ +0.8 |
| 7 August 2024 | 76.6 | Crisis | ▲ +1.8 |
| 6 August 2024 | 74.8 | Tension | ▲ +2.6 |
| 5 August 2024 | 72.2 | Tension | ▲ +3.6 |
| 4 August 2024 | 68.6 | Tension | ▲ +3.6 |
| 3 August 2024 | 65.0 | Tension | ▲ +5.5 |
| 2 August 2024 | 59.5 | Tension | ▲ +7.8 |
| 1 August 2024 | 51.7 | Neutral | ▲ +8.7 |
Frequently asked questions
How tense was the world in August 2024?
Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 68.2 (Tension) in August 2024: the 17th tensest of 104 months since March 2018.
What was the tensest day of August 2024?
10 August 2024, when Riftrate read 77.8 (Crisis).
Which countries were most tense in August 2024?
Gaza and the West Bank (33.6% of its news about armed violence), Lebanon (29.9% of its news about armed violence), Yemen (25.4% of its news about armed violence).