RIFTRATE Get the gauge

World tension in September 2024

In September 2024, Riftrate averaged 53.5 (Neutral), down 14.8 points from August 2024. It peaked at 67.8 on 1 September 2024 and was lowest at 42.8 on 22 September 2024.

Average53.5Neutral
High67.81 September 2024
Low42.822 September 2024
Change vs August▼ −14.8average to average
Riftrate · September 2024
025507510017 Aug24 Aug31 Aug7 Sep14 Sep21 Sep28 Sep
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
SignalAveragevs Aug
Escalation momentum46▼ −48.1
Media tone50▼ −39.1
Terrorism & mass violence70▼ −15.6
Domestic unrest33▼ −13.2
Economic coercion33▲ +11.0
Geopolitical risk (GPR)61▼ −4.9
War & military61▲ +0.5
Diplomatic rupture39▼ −0.5

September 2024 in context

By its average, September 2024 was the 43rd tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 11 of its 30 days in Tension or Crisis and 4 in Easing or Complacency. That is 9.5 points lower than in September 2023 (62.9). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Gaza and the West Bank (36.3%), Lebanon (27.9%), Israel (22.5%).

Day by day
DayRiftrateZoneDay change
30 September 202465.2Tension▲ +3.2
29 September 202462.0Tension▲ +4.5
28 September 202457.5Tension▲ +1.6
27 September 202455.9Tension▲ +0.5
26 September 202455.4Neutral▲ +3.3
25 September 202452.1Neutral▲ +3.1
24 September 202449.0Neutral▲ +3.9
23 September 202445.1Neutral▲ +2.4
22 September 202442.8Easing▼ −0.4
21 September 202443.2Easing▼ −0.1
20 September 202443.2Easing▼ −1.2
19 September 202444.4Easing▼ −2.3
18 September 202446.7Neutral▼ −3.1
17 September 202449.8Neutral▼ −3.3
16 September 202453.2Neutral▼ −3.1
15 September 202456.3Tension▼ −1.1
14 September 202457.4Tension▲ +0.7
13 September 202456.7Tension▲ +2.9
12 September 202453.9Neutral▲ +1.5
11 September 202452.4Neutral▲ +1.1
10 September 202451.3Neutral▲ +0.3
9 September 202451.0Neutral▲ +0.4
8 September 202450.5Neutral▼ −0.8
7 September 202451.3Neutral▼ −1.0
6 September 202452.3Neutral▼ −2.6
5 September 202454.9Neutral▼ −3.2
4 September 202458.1Tension▼ −2.5
3 September 202460.6Tension▼ −3.2
2 September 202463.9Tension▼ −3.9
1 September 202467.8Tension▼ −1.8
Previous: August 2024All of 2024Next: October 2024

Frequently asked questions

How tense was the world in September 2024?

Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 53.5 (Neutral) in September 2024: the 43rd tensest of 104 months since March 2018.

What was the tensest day of September 2024?

1 September 2024, when Riftrate read 67.8 (Tension).

Which countries were most tense in September 2024?

Gaza and the West Bank (36.3% of its news about armed violence), Lebanon (27.9% of its news about armed violence), Israel (22.5% of its news about armed violence).