Riftrate · October 2024
World tension in October 2024
In October 2024, Riftrate averaged 64.2 (Tension), up 10.7 points from September 2024. It peaked at 83.2 on 7 October 2024 and was lowest at 50.9 on 22 October 2024.
Average64.2Tension
High83.27 October 2024
Low50.922 October 2024
Change vs September▲ +10.7average to average
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
| Signal | Average | vs Sep |
|---|---|---|
| Diplomatic rupture | 69 | ▲ +29.7 |
| War & military | 82 | ▲ +21.1 |
| Terrorism & mass violence | 88 | ▲ +18.8 |
| Escalation momentum | 51 | ▲ +5.0 |
| Domestic unrest | 28 | ▼ −4.8 |
| Economic coercion | 30 | ▼ −3.0 |
| Geopolitical risk (GPR) | 60 | ▼ −1.3 |
| Media tone | 50 | ▲ +0.4 |
October 2024 in context
By its average, October 2024 was the 23rd tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 21 of its 31 days in Tension or Crisis and 0 in Easing or Complacency. That is 23.2 points lower than in October 2023 (87.4). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Gaza and the West Bank (36.4%), Yemen (30.0%), Syria (27.3%).
Day by day
| Day | Riftrate | Zone | Day change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 October 2024 | 58.7 | Tension | ▼ −1.0 |
| 30 October 2024 | 59.7 | Tension | ▼ −1.0 |
| 29 October 2024 | 60.8 | Tension | ▲ +0.5 |
| 28 October 2024 | 60.2 | Tension | ▲ +1.5 |
| 27 October 2024 | 58.7 | Tension | ▲ +1.9 |
| 26 October 2024 | 56.8 | Tension | ▲ +3.3 |
| 25 October 2024 | 53.5 | Neutral | ▲ +1.4 |
| 24 October 2024 | 52.1 | Neutral | ▲ +0.2 |
| 23 October 2024 | 51.9 | Neutral | ▲ +1.0 |
| 22 October 2024 | 50.9 | Neutral | ▼ −0.1 |
| 21 October 2024 | 51.0 | Neutral | ▼ −1.7 |
| 20 October 2024 | 52.7 | Neutral | ▼ −0.5 |
| 19 October 2024 | 53.2 | Neutral | ▼ −0.7 |
| 18 October 2024 | 53.9 | Neutral | ▼ −0.5 |
| 17 October 2024 | 54.3 | Neutral | ▼ −0.5 |
| 16 October 2024 | 54.9 | Neutral | ▼ −2.1 |
| 15 October 2024 | 57.0 | Tension | ▼ −2.8 |
| 14 October 2024 | 59.8 | Tension | ▼ −3.6 |
| 13 October 2024 | 63.4 | Tension | ▼ −4.3 |
| 12 October 2024 | 67.7 | Tension | ▼ −3.3 |
| 11 October 2024 | 71.0 | Tension | ▼ −4.1 |
| 10 October 2024 | 75.1 | Tension | ▼ −5.0 |
| 9 October 2024 | 80.1 | Crisis | ▼ −2.6 |
| 8 October 2024 | 82.7 | Crisis | ▼ −0.5 |
| 7 October 2024 | 83.2 | Crisis | ▲ +0.5 |
| 6 October 2024 | 82.8 | Crisis | ▲ +1.0 |
| 5 October 2024 | 81.8 | Crisis | ▲ +1.5 |
| 4 October 2024 | 80.3 | Crisis | ▲ +2.4 |
| 3 October 2024 | 77.8 | Crisis | ▲ +3.7 |
| 2 October 2024 | 74.2 | Tension | ▲ +5.0 |
| 1 October 2024 | 69.2 | Tension | ▲ +4.0 |
Frequently asked questions
How tense was the world in October 2024?
Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 64.2 (Tension) in October 2024: the 23rd tensest of 104 months since March 2018.
What was the tensest day of October 2024?
7 October 2024, when Riftrate read 83.2 (Crisis).
Which countries were most tense in October 2024?
Gaza and the West Bank (36.4% of its news about armed violence), Yemen (30.0% of its news about armed violence), Syria (27.3% of its news about armed violence).