Riftrate · 21–27 September 2026 and the 3 weeks before
The week in world tension: 21–27 September 2026
In week 39 of 2026 (21–27 September 2026), Riftrate averaged 41.4 (Easing), down 2.1 points from the week before. It peaked at 43.3 on 27 September 2026.
Average41.4Easing
Vs the week before▼ −2.1average to average
High43.327 September 2026
Low40.123 September 2026
The week in brief
The signals that moved most: escalation momentum (▼ −10.5) and diplomatic rupture (▲ +10.5). Most intense: Gaza and the West Bank (30.5%), Yemen (29.2%), Ethiopia (21.2%). Biggest riser: Ethiopia, up 16.4 points to 21.2% of its news about armed violence. Market risk at the end of the week: energy supply 65 (▼ −25.9), oil shipping routes 72 (▼ −4.5), major economies 11 (▼ −59.1).
Frequently asked questions
How tense was the world in week 39 of 2026?
Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 41.4 (Easing) from 21–27 September 2026, down 2.1 points from the week before.
Which countries were most tense in week 39 of 2026?
Gaza and the West Bank (30.5% of its news about armed violence), Yemen (29.2% of its news about armed violence), Ethiopia (21.2% of its news about armed violence).