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Ethiopia: how tense is it right now?

19.9% of the news located in Ethiopia this week is about armed violence (war and terrorism): #4 of the 74 countries we track. Compared with its own history since 2017, that is far above its usual level (98 out of 100).

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Armed-conflict intensity19.9%of its news, last 7 days
Rank#4of 74 countries
Vs its own history98far above its usual level
Share of the world’s war news0.63%weighed by severity
Ethiopia · share of its news about armed violence, last 12 months
7.5%15.0%22.5%NovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct
31 OctWARDrone strikes in Ethiopia kill at least 25: witnessesAfricanews
Ethiopia · weekly average since 2017 (highest: 24 October 2021)
6.6%13.2%19.8%201820192020202120222023202420252026
Week endingIntensityNearby event
24 October 202129.6%—
28 September 202627.8%—
29 December 202023.9%—
6 September 202223.2%—
15 November 202022.8%—
YearAverage intensityHighest weekTypical rank
20267.3%27.8%#39
20255.5%12.9%#48
20246.0%13.4%#40
20237.5%17.6%#28
202210.6%23.2%#18
202112.6%29.6%#12
20207.6%23.9%#39
20195.4%22.0%#46
20184.7%10.4%#53
20175.7%10.6%#46

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Frequently asked questions

How tense is Ethiopia right now?

19.9% of the news located in Ethiopia over the last 7 days was about armed violence (war and terrorism), which ranks it #4 of the 74 countries Riftrate tracks.

Is Ethiopia more tense than usual?

Compared with its own history since 2017, Ethiopia is far above its usual level: it has been calmer on 98% of days.

When was Ethiopia most tense since 2017?

The highest reading was 29.6%, in the 7 days to 24 October 2021.

Which countries in Africa are the most tense right now?

Ethiopia (19.9%), Somalia (16.8%), Sudan (14.5%).

Where does this data come from?

From the GDELT Project, which codes events reported in the world’s news in more than 100 languages and locates them. Riftrate measures the share of each country’s news about armed violence, excluding ordinary crime and policing. It measures the news, not casualties.

How it is measured: GDELT locates every event reported in the news. We take all the coverage of events located in the country over 7 days and measure the part about armed violence: war and terrorism, excluding ordinary crime and policing. It does not depend on the size of the country or on how many newspapers cover it. It measures the news, not the number of victims. Methodology