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Africa

Nigeria: how tense is it right now?

5.2% of the news located in Nigeria this week is about armed violence (war and terrorism): #37 of the 74 countries we track. Compared with its own history since 2017, that is below its usual level (15 out of 100).

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Armed-conflict intensity5.2%of its news, last 7 days
Rank#37of 74 countries
Vs its own history15below its usual level
Share of the world’s war news1.5%weighed by severity
Nigeria · share of its news about armed violence, last 12 months
4.4%8.9%13.3%NovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct
Nigeria · weekly average since 2017 (highest: 21 June 2025)
4.1%8.1%12.2%201820192020202120222023202420252026
Week endingIntensityNearby event
21 June 202521.8%—
24 November 202516.4%—
30 December 202515.4%—
27 April 202114.1%—
4 June 202114.1%—
YearAverage intensityHighest weekTypical rank
20267.2%14.9%#31
20256.7%21.8%#37
20245.6%10.0%#45
20235.7%10.5%#43
20226.8%11.5%#32
20218.6%14.1%#21
20207.2%13.0%#25
20196.6%9.5%#27
20187.1%10.8%#24
20176.8%12.4%#32

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Frequently asked questions

How tense is Nigeria right now?

5.2% of the news located in Nigeria over the last 7 days was about armed violence (war and terrorism), which ranks it #37 of the 74 countries Riftrate tracks.

Is Nigeria more tense than usual?

Compared with its own history since 2017, Nigeria is below its usual level: it has been calmer on 15% of days.

When was Nigeria most tense since 2017?

The highest reading was 21.8%, in the 7 days to 21 June 2025.

Which countries in Africa are the most tense right now?

Ethiopia (19.9%), Somalia (16.8%), Sudan (14.5%).

Where does this data come from?

From the GDELT Project, which codes events reported in the world’s news in more than 100 languages and locates them. Riftrate measures the share of each country’s news about armed violence, excluding ordinary crime and policing. It measures the news, not casualties.

How it is measured: GDELT locates every event reported in the news. We take all the coverage of events located in the country over 7 days and measure the part about armed violence: war and terrorism, excluding ordinary crime and policing. It does not depend on the size of the country or on how many newspapers cover it. It measures the news, not the number of victims. Methodology