Nigeria: how tense is it right now?
5.2% of the news located in Nigeria this week is about armed violence (war and terrorism): #37 of the 74 countries we track. Compared with its own history since 2017, that is below its usual level (15 out of 100).
| Week ending | Intensity | Nearby event |
|---|---|---|
| 21 June 2025 | 21.8% | — |
| 24 November 2025 | 16.4% | — |
| 30 December 2025 | 15.4% | — |
| 27 April 2021 | 14.1% | — |
| 4 June 2021 | 14.1% | — |
| Year | Average intensity | Highest week | Typical rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7.2% | 14.9% | #31 |
| 2025 | 6.7% | 21.8% | #37 |
| 2024 | 5.6% | 10.0% | #45 |
| 2023 | 5.7% | 10.5% | #43 |
| 2022 | 6.8% | 11.5% | #32 |
| 2021 | 8.6% | 14.1% | #21 |
| 2020 | 7.2% | 13.0% | #25 |
| 2019 | 6.6% | 9.5% | #27 |
| 2018 | 7.1% | 10.8% | #24 |
| 2017 | 6.8% | 12.4% | #32 |
Compare Nigeria
Elsewhere in Africa
All countriesFrequently asked questions
How tense is Nigeria right now?
5.2% of the news located in Nigeria over the last 7 days was about armed violence (war and terrorism), which ranks it #37 of the 74 countries Riftrate tracks.
Is Nigeria more tense than usual?
Compared with its own history since 2017, Nigeria is below its usual level: it has been calmer on 15% of days.
When was Nigeria most tense since 2017?
The highest reading was 21.8%, in the 7 days to 21 June 2025.
Which countries in Africa are the most tense right now?
Ethiopia (19.9%), Somalia (16.8%), Sudan (14.5%).
Where does this data come from?
From the GDELT Project, which codes events reported in the world’s news in more than 100 languages and locates them. Riftrate measures the share of each country’s news about armed violence, excluding ordinary crime and policing. It measures the news, not casualties.
How it is measured: GDELT locates every event reported in the news. We take all the coverage of events located in the country over 7 days and measure the part about armed violence: war and terrorism, excluding ordinary crime and policing. It does not depend on the size of the country or on how many newspapers cover it. It measures the news, not the number of victims. Methodology