Riftrate · November 2025
World tension in November 2025
In November 2025, Riftrate averaged 28.9 (Easing), down 17.8 points from October 2025. It peaked at 39.2 on 3 November 2025 and was lowest at 22.0 on 18 November 2025.
Average28.9Easing
High39.23 November 2025
Low22.018 November 2025
Change vs October▼ −17.8average to average
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
| Signal | Average | vs Oct |
|---|---|---|
| Geopolitical risk (GPR) | 37 | ▼ −40.0 |
| Domestic unrest | 22 | ▼ −21.8 |
| Media tone | 11 | ▼ −12.8 |
| Diplomatic rupture | 48 | ▼ −7.9 |
| Economic coercion | 42 | ▼ −7.1 |
| War & military | 29 | ▼ −6.2 |
| Escalation momentum | 24 | ▼ −4.2 |
| Terrorism & mass violence | 51 | ▼ −1.1 |
November 2025 in context
By its average, November 2025 was the 96th tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 0 of its 30 days in Tension or Crisis and 30 in Easing or Complacency. That is 11.3 points lower than in November 2024 (40.1). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Gaza and the West Bank (27.0%), Lebanon (17.7%), Sudan (17.6%).
Day by day
| Day | Riftrate | Zone | Day change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 November 2025 | 32.6 | Easing | ▲ +0.4 |
| 29 November 2025 | 32.2 | Easing | ▲ +0.3 |
| 28 November 2025 | 31.9 | Easing | ▼ −0.4 |
| 27 November 2025 | 32.3 | Easing | ▲ +1.1 |
| 26 November 2025 | 31.2 | Easing | ▲ +0.8 |
| 25 November 2025 | 30.3 | Easing | ▲ +2.3 |
| 24 November 2025 | 28.0 | Easing | ▲ +1.0 |
| 23 November 2025 | 27.0 | Easing | ▲ +1.1 |
| 22 November 2025 | 26.0 | Easing | ▲ +1.1 |
| 21 November 2025 | 24.9 | Easing | ▲ +1.7 |
| 20 November 2025 | 23.1 | Complacency | ▲ +0.7 |
| 19 November 2025 | 22.4 | Complacency | ▲ +0.4 |
| 18 November 2025 | 22.0 | Complacency | ▼ −0.3 |
| 17 November 2025 | 22.3 | Complacency | ▲ +0.3 |
| 16 November 2025 | 22.0 | Complacency | ▼ −0.5 |
| 15 November 2025 | 22.5 | Complacency | ▼ −1.8 |
| 14 November 2025 | 24.3 | Complacency | ▼ −0.7 |
| 13 November 2025 | 25.0 | Easing | ▼ −0.3 |
| 12 November 2025 | 25.3 | Easing | 0.0 |
| 11 November 2025 | 25.3 | Easing | ▼ −0.4 |
| 10 November 2025 | 25.7 | Easing | ▼ −2.9 |
| 9 November 2025 | 28.6 | Easing | ▼ −1.4 |
| 8 November 2025 | 29.9 | Easing | ▼ −0.1 |
| 7 November 2025 | 30.0 | Easing | ▼ −2.6 |
| 6 November 2025 | 32.6 | Easing | ▼ −2.8 |
| 5 November 2025 | 35.4 | Easing | ▼ −2.5 |
| 4 November 2025 | 37.8 | Easing | ▼ −1.4 |
| 3 November 2025 | 39.2 | Easing | ▲ +1.5 |
| 2 November 2025 | 37.8 | Easing | ▼ −1.2 |
| 1 November 2025 | 39.0 | Easing | ▼ −2.2 |
Frequently asked questions
How tense was the world in November 2025?
Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 28.9 (Easing) in November 2025: the 96th tensest of 104 months since March 2018.
What was the tensest day of November 2025?
3 November 2025, when Riftrate read 39.2 (Easing).
Which countries were most tense in November 2025?
Gaza and the West Bank (27.0% of its news about armed violence), Lebanon (17.7% of its news about armed violence), Sudan (17.6% of its news about armed violence).