Riftrate · April 2021
World tension in April 2021
In April 2021, Riftrate averaged 62.6 (Tension), up 3.6 points from March 2021. It peaked at 85.2 on 24 April 2021 and was lowest at 41.0 on 10 April 2021.
Average62.6Tension
High85.224 April 2021
Low41.010 April 2021
Change vs March▲ +3.6average to average
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
| Signal | Average | vs Mar |
|---|---|---|
| Domestic unrest | 53 | ▼ −17.0 |
| Geopolitical risk (GPR) | 47 | ▲ +14.5 |
| Economic coercion | 70 | ▼ −12.9 |
| War & military | 84 | ▲ +10.9 |
| Media tone | 48 | ▲ +7.7 |
| Diplomatic rupture | 55 | ▲ +6.7 |
| Escalation momentum | 60 | ▼ −3.1 |
| Terrorism & mass violence | 51 | ▼ −2.6 |
April 2021 in context
By its average, April 2021 was the 26th tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 19 of its 30 days in Tension or Crisis and 6 in Easing or Complacency. That is 49.5 points higher than in April 2020 (13.1). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Mozambique (22.9%), Yemen (21.2%), Somalia (17.0%).
Day by day
| Day | Riftrate | Zone | Day change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 April 2021 | 61.3 | Tension | ▼ −7.1 |
| 29 April 2021 | 68.5 | Tension | ▼ −6.7 |
| 28 April 2021 | 75.2 | Tension | ▼ −5.6 |
| 27 April 2021 | 80.7 | Crisis | ▼ −1.5 |
| 26 April 2021 | 82.2 | Crisis | ▼ −2.3 |
| 25 April 2021 | 84.5 | Crisis | ▼ −0.7 |
| 24 April 2021 | 85.2 | Crisis | ▲ +1.2 |
| 23 April 2021 | 84.0 | Crisis | ▲ +1.2 |
| 22 April 2021 | 82.8 | Crisis | ▲ +1.3 |
| 21 April 2021 | 81.5 | Crisis | ▲ +2.2 |
| 20 April 2021 | 79.3 | Crisis | ▲ +3.2 |
| 19 April 2021 | 76.1 | Crisis | ▲ +3.8 |
| 18 April 2021 | 72.4 | Tension | ▲ +5.1 |
| 17 April 2021 | 67.3 | Tension | ▲ +5.6 |
| 16 April 2021 | 61.7 | Tension | ▲ +5.7 |
| 15 April 2021 | 56.0 | Tension | ▲ +6.0 |
| 14 April 2021 | 49.9 | Neutral | ▲ +4.1 |
| 13 April 2021 | 45.9 | Neutral | ▲ +2.0 |
| 12 April 2021 | 43.8 | Easing | ▲ +2.3 |
| 11 April 2021 | 41.5 | Easing | ▲ +0.5 |
| 10 April 2021 | 41.0 | Easing | ▼ −1.5 |
| 9 April 2021 | 42.5 | Easing | ▼ −0.2 |
| 8 April 2021 | 42.7 | Easing | ▼ −0.6 |
| 7 April 2021 | 43.3 | Easing | ▼ −2.1 |
| 6 April 2021 | 45.4 | Neutral | ▼ −3.6 |
| 5 April 2021 | 49.0 | Neutral | ▼ −5.4 |
| 4 April 2021 | 54.4 | Neutral | ▼ −4.4 |
| 3 April 2021 | 58.8 | Tension | ▼ −0.8 |
| 2 April 2021 | 59.5 | Tension | ▼ −2.5 |
| 1 April 2021 | 62.0 | Tension | ▼ −1.3 |
Frequently asked questions
How tense was the world in April 2021?
Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 62.6 (Tension) in April 2021: the 26th tensest of 104 months since March 2018.
What was the tensest day of April 2021?
24 April 2021, when Riftrate read 85.2 (Crisis).
Which countries were most tense in April 2021?
Mozambique (22.9% of its news about armed violence), Yemen (21.2% of its news about armed violence), Somalia (17.0% of its news about armed violence).