Riftrate · September 2022
World tension in September 2022
In September 2022, Riftrate averaged 41.5 (Easing), down 24.8 points from August 2022. It peaked at 62.2 on 30 September 2022 and was lowest at 27.6 on 13 September 2022.
Average41.5Easing
High62.230 September 2022
Low27.613 September 2022
Change vs August▼ −24.8average to average
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
| Signal | Average | vs Aug |
|---|---|---|
| Escalation momentum | 18 | ▼ −48.5 |
| Media tone | 15 | ▼ −47.9 |
| Terrorism & mass violence | 42 | ▼ −23.0 |
| War & military | 56 | ▼ −19.2 |
| Diplomatic rupture | 30 | ▼ −11.3 |
| Geopolitical risk (GPR) | 69 | ▼ −6.7 |
| Economic coercion | 50 | ▲ +3.6 |
| Domestic unrest | 35 | ▲ +3.1 |
September 2022 in context
By its average, September 2022 was the 70th tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 4 of its 30 days in Tension or Crisis and 22 in Easing or Complacency. That is 4.2 points lower than in September 2021 (45.6). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Gaza and the West Bank (30.5%), Myanmar (17.8%), Ethiopia (17.5%). Also this month: UK “mini-budget” crisis (23 September 2022).
Day by day
| Day | Riftrate | Zone | Day change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 September 2022 | 62.2 | Tension | ▲ +1.0 |
| 29 September 2022 | 61.2 | Tension | ▲ +1.5 |
| 28 September 2022 | 59.7 | Tension | ▲ +2.6 |
| 27 September 2022 | 57.1 | Tension | ▲ +3.0 |
| 26 September 2022 | 54.1 | Neutral | ▲ +3.7 |
| 25 September 2022 | 50.3 | Neutral | ▲ +2.7 |
| 24 September 2022 | 47.7 | Neutral | ▲ +2.6 |
| 23 September 2022 | 45.1 | Neutral | ▲ +2.9 |
| 22 September 2022 | 42.2 | Easing | ▲ +2.8 |
| 21 September 2022 | 39.4 | Easing | 0.0 |
| 20 September 2022 | 39.4 | Easing | ▲ +0.5 |
| 19 September 2022 | 38.9 | Easing | ▲ +1.8 |
| 18 September 2022 | 37.1 | Easing | ▲ +2.1 |
| 17 September 2022 | 35.0 | Easing | ▲ +2.8 |
| 16 September 2022 | 32.2 | Easing | ▲ +2.0 |
| 15 September 2022 | 30.2 | Easing | ▲ +0.6 |
| 14 September 2022 | 29.6 | Easing | ▲ +1.9 |
| 13 September 2022 | 27.6 | Easing | ▼ −0.1 |
| 12 September 2022 | 27.8 | Easing | ▼ −0.9 |
| 11 September 2022 | 28.7 | Easing | ▼ −2.4 |
| 10 September 2022 | 31.1 | Easing | ▼ −3.5 |
| 9 September 2022 | 34.6 | Easing | ▼ −3.7 |
| 8 September 2022 | 38.3 | Easing | ▼ −3.4 |
| 7 September 2022 | 41.6 | Easing | ▼ −0.6 |
| 6 September 2022 | 42.2 | Easing | ▼ −0.9 |
| 5 September 2022 | 43.1 | Easing | ▼ −0.2 |
| 4 September 2022 | 43.3 | Easing | ▲ +0.8 |
| 3 September 2022 | 42.5 | Easing | ▲ +1.4 |
| 2 September 2022 | 41.0 | Easing | ▼ −0.1 |
| 1 September 2022 | 41.2 | Easing | ▼ −0.9 |
Frequently asked questions
How tense was the world in September 2022?
Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 41.5 (Easing) in September 2022: the 70th tensest of 104 months since March 2018.
What was the tensest day of September 2022?
30 September 2022, when Riftrate read 62.2 (Tension).
Which countries were most tense in September 2022?
Gaza and the West Bank (30.5% of its news about armed violence), Myanmar (17.8% of its news about armed violence), Ethiopia (17.5% of its news about armed violence).