Riftrate · October 2022
World tension in October 2022
In October 2022, Riftrate averaged 66.0 (Tension), up 24.5 points from September 2022. It peaked at 74.7 on 14 October 2022 and was lowest at 57.0 on 31 October 2022.
Average66.0Tension
High74.714 October 2022
Low57.031 October 2022
Change vs September▲ +24.5average to average
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
| Signal | Average | vs Sep |
|---|---|---|
| Escalation momentum | 63 | ▲ +45.1 |
| War & military | 80 | ▲ +24.0 |
| Media tone | 34 | ▲ +19.7 |
| Terrorism & mass violence | 56 | ▲ +13.9 |
| Geopolitical risk (GPR) | 83 | ▲ +13.9 |
| Domestic unrest | 43 | ▲ +8.2 |
| Economic coercion | 57 | ▲ +7.8 |
| Diplomatic rupture | 36 | ▲ +5.6 |
October 2022 in context
By its average, October 2022 was the 22nd tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 31 of its 31 days in Tension or Crisis and 0 in Easing or Complacency. That is 17.9 points higher than in October 2021 (48.0). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Gaza and the West Bank (37.4%), Myanmar (26.3%), North Korea (22.8%). Also this month: Brazil elects Lula (30 October 2022).
Day by day
| Day | Riftrate | Zone | Day change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 October 2022 | 57.0 | Tension | ▼ −0.5 |
| 30 October 2022 | 57.5 | Tension | ▼ −0.5 |
| 29 October 2022 | 58.0 | Tension | ▼ −1.1 |
| 28 October 2022 | 59.0 | Tension | ▼ −1.3 |
| 27 October 2022 | 60.3 | Tension | ▼ −2.5 |
| 26 October 2022 | 62.8 | Tension | ▼ −3.5 |
| 25 October 2022 | 66.3 | Tension | ▼ −2.5 |
| 24 October 2022 | 68.8 | Tension | ▼ −2.2 |
| 23 October 2022 | 71.0 | Tension | ▼ −0.4 |
| 22 October 2022 | 71.4 | Tension | ▲ +1.1 |
| 21 October 2022 | 70.3 | Tension | ▲ +1.1 |
| 20 October 2022 | 69.2 | Tension | ▲ +1.2 |
| 19 October 2022 | 68.0 | Tension | ▼ −0.1 |
| 18 October 2022 | 68.1 | Tension | ▼ −2.3 |
| 17 October 2022 | 70.4 | Tension | ▼ −2.3 |
| 16 October 2022 | 72.7 | Tension | ▼ −1.0 |
| 15 October 2022 | 73.7 | Tension | ▼ −0.9 |
| 14 October 2022 | 74.7 | Tension | 0.0 |
| 13 October 2022 | 74.7 | Tension | ▲ +0.1 |
| 12 October 2022 | 74.6 | Tension | ▲ +2.1 |
| 11 October 2022 | 72.5 | Tension | ▲ +3.8 |
| 10 October 2022 | 68.7 | Tension | ▲ +4.8 |
| 9 October 2022 | 63.9 | Tension | ▲ +1.9 |
| 8 October 2022 | 62.0 | Tension | ▲ +0.6 |
| 7 October 2022 | 61.3 | Tension | ▲ +0.6 |
| 6 October 2022 | 60.7 | Tension | ▲ +1.0 |
| 5 October 2022 | 59.8 | Tension | ▼ −0.8 |
| 4 October 2022 | 60.6 | Tension | ▼ −0.5 |
| 3 October 2022 | 61.1 | Tension | ▼ −2.0 |
| 2 October 2022 | 63.0 | Tension | ▼ −0.1 |
| 1 October 2022 | 63.2 | Tension | ▲ +1.0 |
Frequently asked questions
How tense was the world in October 2022?
Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 66.0 (Tension) in October 2022: the 22nd tensest of 104 months since March 2018.
What was the tensest day of October 2022?
14 October 2022, when Riftrate read 74.7 (Tension).
Which countries were most tense in October 2022?
Gaza and the West Bank (37.4% of its news about armed violence), Myanmar (26.3% of its news about armed violence), North Korea (22.8% of its news about armed violence).