Riftrate · 26 Oct – 1 Nov 2026 and the 3 weeks before
The week in world tension: 26 Oct – 1 Nov 2026
In week 44 of 2026 (26 Oct – 1 Nov 2026) so far, Riftrate averaged 47.7 (Neutral), down 16.9 points from the week before. It peaked at 56.4 on 26 October 2026.
Average47.7Neutral
Vs the week before▼ −16.9average to average
High56.426 October 2026
Low40.031 October 2026
The week in brief
The signals that moved most: media tone (▼ −30.8) and escalation momentum (▼ −20.3). Most intense: Yemen (30.1%), Gaza and the West Bank (25.9%), Jordan (25.2%). Biggest riser: Jordan, up 13.9 points to 25.2% of its news about armed violence. Market risk at the end of the week: energy supply 62 (▼ −19.1), oil shipping routes 74 (▼ −11.0), major economies 10 (▼ −15.2).
Day by daythe daily briefs
| Day | Riftrate | Top story |
|---|---|---|
| 26 October 2026 | 59.8 | Venezuela's opposition leader María Corina Machado returns after months in exile |
| 27 October 2026 | 52.0 | Exit polls suggest no clear victor in Israeli election |
| 28 October 2026 | 48.9 | Israel's election result is messy - here's why |
| 29 October 2026 | 44.9 | Ukraine says at least 13 killed in Russian attack on train station |
| 30 October 2026 | 41.0 | Israel's final election results show no bloc has won a majority |
| 31 October 2026 | 40.0 | US approves sale of 500 Patriot missiles to Ukraine |
Frequently asked questions
How tense was the world in week 44 of 2026?
Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 47.7 (Neutral) from 26 Oct – 1 Nov 2026 so far, down 16.9 points from the week before.
Which countries were most tense in week 44 of 2026?
Yemen (30.1% of its news about armed violence), Gaza and the West Bank (25.9% of its news about armed violence), Jordan (25.2% of its news about armed violence).