Riftrate · December 2024
World tension in December 2024
In December 2024, Riftrate averaged 44.8 (Neutral), up 4.6 points from November 2024. It peaked at 50.8 on 14 December 2024 and was lowest at 35.2 on 26 December 2024.
Average44.8Neutral
High50.814 December 2024
Low35.226 December 2024
Change vs November▲ +4.6average to average
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
| Signal | Average | vs Nov |
|---|---|---|
| Media tone | 39 | ▲ +23.1 |
| Geopolitical risk (GPR) | 70 | ▲ +15.6 |
| War & military | 45 | ▼ −10.7 |
| Domestic unrest | 35 | ▲ +8.3 |
| Terrorism & mass violence | 54 | ▼ −6.5 |
| Escalation momentum | 28 | ▲ +4.6 |
| Diplomatic rupture | 35 | ▼ −3.6 |
| Economic coercion | 33 | ▲ +3.0 |
December 2024 in context
By its average, December 2024 was the 59th tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 0 of its 31 days in Tension or Crisis and 10 in Easing or Complacency. That is 24.1 points lower than in December 2023 (68.9). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Gaza and the West Bank (29.7%), Yemen (27.3%), Israel (19.7%). Also this month: Martial law in South Korea (3 December 2024).
Day by day
| Day | Riftrate | Zone | Day change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 December 2024 | 37.3 | Easing | ▼ −1.0 |
| 30 December 2024 | 38.3 | Easing | ▼ −0.1 |
| 29 December 2024 | 38.4 | Easing | ▲ +1.6 |
| 28 December 2024 | 36.8 | Easing | ▲ +1.2 |
| 27 December 2024 | 35.6 | Easing | ▲ +0.4 |
| 26 December 2024 | 35.2 | Easing | ▼ −2.1 |
| 25 December 2024 | 37.2 | Easing | ▼ −3.8 |
| 24 December 2024 | 41.1 | Easing | ▼ −2.6 |
| 23 December 2024 | 43.7 | Easing | ▼ −1.4 |
| 22 December 2024 | 45.1 | Neutral | ▲ +0.4 |
| 21 December 2024 | 44.7 | Neutral | ▲ +0.4 |
| 20 December 2024 | 44.3 | Easing | ▼ −0.8 |
| 19 December 2024 | 45.1 | Neutral | ▼ −0.7 |
| 18 December 2024 | 45.8 | Neutral | ▼ −1.5 |
| 17 December 2024 | 47.4 | Neutral | ▼ −1.8 |
| 16 December 2024 | 49.2 | Neutral | ▼ −0.8 |
| 15 December 2024 | 50.0 | Neutral | ▼ −0.8 |
| 14 December 2024 | 50.8 | Neutral | ▲ +0.1 |
| 13 December 2024 | 50.7 | Neutral | ▲ +1.2 |
| 12 December 2024 | 49.4 | Neutral | ▲ +1.1 |
| 11 December 2024 | 48.3 | Neutral | ▲ +0.9 |
| 10 December 2024 | 47.4 | Neutral | ▲ +0.7 |
| 9 December 2024 | 46.7 | Neutral | ▼ −0.4 |
| 8 December 2024 | 47.1 | Neutral | ▼ −0.8 |
| 7 December 2024 | 47.9 | Neutral | ▲ +0.2 |
| 6 December 2024 | 47.7 | Neutral | ▲ +0.1 |
| 5 December 2024 | 47.6 | Neutral | ▲ +0.4 |
| 4 December 2024 | 47.3 | Neutral | ▲ +0.2 |
| 3 December 2024 | 47.0 | Neutral | ▼ −0.3 |
| 2 December 2024 | 47.3 | Neutral | ▼ −0.3 |
| 1 December 2024 | 47.6 | Neutral | ▼ −1.5 |
Frequently asked questions
How tense was the world in December 2024?
Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 44.8 (Neutral) in December 2024: the 59th tensest of 104 months since March 2018.
What was the tensest day of December 2024?
14 December 2024, when Riftrate read 50.8 (Neutral).
Which countries were most tense in December 2024?
Gaza and the West Bank (29.7% of its news about armed violence), Yemen (27.3% of its news about armed violence), Israel (19.7% of its news about armed violence).