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US midterm elections, 3 November 2026

US midterm elections takes place in 3 days. The United States is #36 of 74 countries for armed violence in the news this week (5.4% of its coverage), far below its usual level.

When3 November 2026In 3 days
United States this week5.4%#36 of 74 countries
Vs its own history4far below its usual level
World tension today40Easing
Last timesDateRiftrate before, then within 14 daysMexican peso, 5 sessionsHow unusual
US presidential election 20245 November 202444 → 39-2.4%bigger than 87% of 5-day moves
US presidential election 20203 November 202027 → 25——

Past moves are context, not a forecast. Markets also move with rates, earnings and the economy. Not investment advice. Source for the date: www.idea.int.

Frequently asked questions

When are the US midterm elections?

3 November 2026.

How tense is the United States right now?

5.4% of the news located in the United States over the last 7 days was about armed violence, #36 of 74 countries; compared with its own history since 2017, that is far below its usual level.

What did markets do after the last US election?

After US presidential election 2024 (5 November 2024), the Mexican peso moved -2.4% over 5 sessions, bigger than 87% of 5-day moves. Past moves are not a forecast.