Mexican peso around each event · shaded: normal range
Mexico elects Andrés Manuel López Obrador (2018)Mexico elects Claudia Sheinbaum (2024)US presidential election 2024 (2024)US “Liberation Day” tariffs (2025)
How the Mexican peso moved against the US dollar around 4 political events since 2018 in or around Mexico. A rise means the Mexican peso strengthens. Week by week, it shows almost no link (+0.04) with Riftrate.
| Date | Event | Type | Next session | 5 sessions | 20 sessions | How unusual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 April 2025 | US “Liberation Day” tariffs | Sanctions | -0.8% | -1.8% | +3.8% | bigger than 77% of 5-day moves |
| 5 November 2024 | US presidential election 2024 | Election | -0.8% | -2.4% | -0.8% | bigger than 87% of 5-day moves |
| 2 June 2024 | Mexico elects Claudia Sheinbaum | Election | -3.3% | -7.0% | -7.6% | bigger than 100% of 5-day moves |
| 1 July 2018 | Mexico elects Andrés Manuel López Obrador | Election | -2.6% | +2.5% | +6.0% | bigger than 85% of 5-day moves |
Data: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, series DEXMXUS, via FRED. Exchange rates are published with about a week’s delay. Not investment advice.