Euro around each event · shaded: normal range
Russian banks cut from SWIFT (2022)France: snap election called (2024)Germany federal election (2025)US “Liberation Day” tariffs (2025)US pauses most new tariffs (2025)
How the Euro moved against the US dollar around 5 political events since 2018 in or around Germany. A rise means the Euro strengthens. Week by week, it shows almost no link (-0.01) with Riftrate.
| Date | Event | Type | Next session | 5 sessions | 20 sessions | How unusual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 April 2025 | US pauses most new tariffs | Sanctions | +1.2% | +3.5% | +4.0% | bigger than 99% of 5-day moves |
| 2 April 2025 | US “Liberation Day” tariffs | Sanctions | +0.6% | +1.0% | +5.5% | bigger than 71% of 5-day moves |
| 23 February 2025 | Germany federal election | Election | +0.2% | -0.5% | +3.4% | bigger than 39% of 5-day moves |
| 9 June 2024 | France: snap election called | Election | -0.5% | -1.0% | +0.1% | bigger than 72% of 5-day moves |
| 26 February 2022 | Russian banks cut from SWIFT | Sanctions | -0.3% | -3.1% | -2.5% | bigger than 99% of 5-day moves |
Data: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, series DEXUSEU, via FRED. Exchange rates are published with about a week’s delay. Not investment advice.