Riftrate · April 2025
World tension in April 2025
In April 2025, Riftrate averaged 50.8 (Neutral), down 9.8 points from March 2025. It peaked at 63.9 on 30 April 2025 and was lowest at 45.5 on 5 April 2025.
Average50.8Neutral
High63.930 April 2025
Low45.55 April 2025
Change vs March▼ −9.8average to average
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
| Signal | Average | vs Mar |
|---|---|---|
| Economic coercion | 38 | ▼ −31.6 |
| Domestic unrest | 42 | ▼ −17.4 |
| Geopolitical risk (GPR) | 73 | ▼ −14.0 |
| Escalation momentum | 65 | ▲ +12.2 |
| War & military | 34 | ▼ −7.3 |
| Media tone | 35 | ▼ −5.0 |
| Diplomatic rupture | 55 | ▼ −4.9 |
| Terrorism & mass violence | 54 | ▼ −0.5 |
April 2025 in context
By its average, April 2025 was the 48th tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 6 of its 30 days in Tension or Crisis and 0 in Easing or Complacency. That is 22.0 points lower than in April 2024 (72.8). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Yemen (27.1%), Gaza and the West Bank (25.5%), Somalia (17.0%). Also this month: US “Liberation Day” tariffs (2 April 2025), US pauses most new tariffs (9 April 2025).
Day by day
| Day | Riftrate | Zone | Day change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 April 2025 | 63.9 | Tension | ▲ +0.1 |
| 29 April 2025 | 63.8 | Tension | ▲ +2.9 |
| 28 April 2025 | 60.9 | Tension | ▲ +3.1 |
| 27 April 2025 | 57.7 | Tension | ▲ +1.7 |
| 26 April 2025 | 56.1 | Tension | ▲ +1.7 |
| 25 April 2025 | 54.4 | Neutral | ▲ +3.8 |
| 24 April 2025 | 50.6 | Neutral | ▲ +4.1 |
| 23 April 2025 | 46.5 | Neutral | ▲ +0.8 |
| 22 April 2025 | 45.6 | Neutral | ▼ −2.8 |
| 21 April 2025 | 48.4 | Neutral | ▼ −1.9 |
| 20 April 2025 | 50.4 | Neutral | ▲ +1.4 |
| 19 April 2025 | 49.0 | Neutral | ▲ +1.4 |
| 18 April 2025 | 47.6 | Neutral | ▲ +1.0 |
| 17 April 2025 | 46.6 | Neutral | ▼ −1.2 |
| 16 April 2025 | 47.8 | Neutral | ▼ −0.1 |
| 15 April 2025 | 47.9 | Neutral | ▲ +0.9 |
| 14 April 2025 | 47.0 | Neutral | ▼ −0.2 |
| 13 April 2025 | 47.2 | Neutral | ▼ −1.6 |
| 12 April 2025 | 48.9 | Neutral | ▼ −1.2 |
| 11 April 2025 | 50.1 | Neutral | ▼ −0.6 |
| 10 April 2025 | 50.7 | Neutral | ▲ +2.0 |
| 9 April 2025 | 48.7 | Neutral | ▲ +1.0 |
| 8 April 2025 | 47.7 | Neutral | ▲ +0.2 |
| 7 April 2025 | 47.5 | Neutral | ▲ +0.4 |
| 6 April 2025 | 47.1 | Neutral | ▲ +1.6 |
| 5 April 2025 | 45.5 | Neutral | ▼ −1.2 |
| 4 April 2025 | 46.7 | Neutral | ▼ −2.3 |
| 3 April 2025 | 49.0 | Neutral | ▼ −4.6 |
| 2 April 2025 | 53.6 | Neutral | ▼ −3.9 |
| 1 April 2025 | 57.5 | Tension | ▼ −3.6 |
Frequently asked questions
How tense was the world in April 2025?
Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 50.8 (Neutral) in April 2025: the 48th tensest of 104 months since March 2018.
What was the tensest day of April 2025?
30 April 2025, when Riftrate read 63.9 (Tension).
Which countries were most tense in April 2025?
Yemen (27.1% of its news about armed violence), Gaza and the West Bank (25.5% of its news about armed violence), Somalia (17.0% of its news about armed violence).