RIFTRATE Get the gauge

World tension in March 2025

In March 2025, Riftrate averaged 60.6 (Tension), up 25.3 points from February 2025. It peaked at 78.0 on 24 March 2025 and was lowest at 34.8 on 3 March 2025.

Average60.6Tension
High78.024 March 2025
Low34.83 March 2025
Change vs February▲ +25.3average to average
Riftrate · March 2025
025507510014 Feb21 Feb28 Feb7 Mar14 Mar21 Mar28 Mar
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
SignalAveragevs Feb
Escalation momentum53▲ +46.1
Geopolitical risk (GPR)87▲ +27.0
Domestic unrest60▲ +25.9
War & military41▲ +17.1
Economic coercion70▲ +16.7
Diplomatic rupture60▲ +12.4
Media tone40▲ +11.2
Terrorism & mass violence55▲ +4.4

March 2025 in context

By its average, March 2025 was the 29th tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 22 of its 31 days in Tension or Crisis and 7 in Easing or Complacency. That is 8.4 points higher than in March 2024 (52.2). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Gaza and the West Bank (22.6%), Yemen (22.1%), South Sudan (18.3%).

Day by day
DayRiftrateZoneDay change
31 March 202561.0Tension▼ −3.2
30 March 202564.3Tension▼ −3.5
29 March 202567.8Tension▼ −2.4
28 March 202570.2Tension▼ −2.1
27 March 202572.3Tension▼ −2.7
26 March 202574.9Tension▼ −2.1
25 March 202577.0Crisis▼ −1.0
24 March 202578.0Crisis▲ +0.5
23 March 202577.6Crisis▲ +0.9
22 March 202576.7Crisis▲ +2.0
21 March 202574.6Tension▲ +2.5
20 March 202572.2Tension▲ +2.9
19 March 202569.3Tension▲ +2.8
18 March 202566.5Tension▲ +1.5
17 March 202565.0Tension▲ +0.5
16 March 202564.5Tension▼ −0.3
15 March 202564.8Tension▼ −0.9
14 March 202565.7Tension▲ +0.2
13 March 202565.5Tension▲ +1.5
12 March 202564.0Tension▲ +2.3
11 March 202561.7Tension▲ +4.1
10 March 202557.6Tension▲ +4.7
9 March 202552.9Neutral▲ +4.7
8 March 202548.2Neutral▲ +3.9
7 March 202544.3Easing▲ +2.7
6 March 202541.6Easing▲ +2.7
5 March 202538.9Easing▲ +2.2
4 March 202536.7Easing▲ +1.9
3 March 202534.8Easing▼ −0.5
2 March 202535.3Easing▼ −0.5
1 March 202535.8Easing▼ −0.7
Previous: February 2025All of 2025Next: April 2025

Frequently asked questions

How tense was the world in March 2025?

Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 60.6 (Tension) in March 2025: the 29th tensest of 104 months since March 2018.

What was the tensest day of March 2025?

24 March 2025, when Riftrate read 78.0 (Crisis).

Which countries were most tense in March 2025?

Gaza and the West Bank (22.6% of its news about armed violence), Yemen (22.1% of its news about armed violence), South Sudan (18.3% of its news about armed violence).