RIFTRATE Get the gauge

World tension in February 2025

In February 2025, Riftrate averaged 35.3 (Easing), down 1.3 points from January 2025. It peaked at 44.9 on 1 February 2025 and was lowest at 27.0 on 16 February 2025.

Average35.3Easing
High44.91 February 2025
Low27.016 February 2025
Change vs January▼ −1.3average to average
Riftrate · February 2025
025507510017 Jan24 Jan31 Jan7 Feb14 Feb21 Feb28 Feb
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
SignalAveragevs Jan
Escalation momentum6▼ −28.9
Geopolitical risk (GPR)60▲ +18.3
Media tone29▼ −16.4
Diplomatic rupture47▲ +10.5
War & military24▼ −7.3
Domestic unrest34▲ +4.4
Economic coercion53▲ +0.8
Terrorism & mass violence50▲ +0.6

February 2025 in context

By its average, February 2025 was the 87th tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 0 of its 28 days in Tension or Crisis and 27 in Easing or Complacency. That is 27.8 points lower than in February 2024 (63.1). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Somalia (19.4%), Sudan (19.2%), Gaza and the West Bank (18.3%). Also this month: Germany federal election (23 February 2025).

Day by day
DayRiftrateZoneDay change
28 February 202536.5Easing▼ −1.1
27 February 202537.6Easing▼ −0.9
26 February 202538.5Easing▲ +0.2
25 February 202538.3Easing▲ +1.1
24 February 202537.2Easing▲ +1.4
23 February 202535.8Easing▲ +0.8
22 February 202535.0Easing▲ +1.0
21 February 202534.0Easing▲ +1.4
20 February 202532.6Easing▲ +1.8
19 February 202530.8Easing▲ +2.1
18 February 202528.7Easing▲ +1.3
17 February 202527.4Easing▲ +0.4
16 February 202527.0Easing0.0
15 February 202527.0Easing▼ −1.7
14 February 202528.7Easing▼ −2.2
13 February 202530.9Easing▼ −2.5
12 February 202533.4Easing▼ −2.9
11 February 202536.3Easing▼ −1.5
10 February 202537.9Easing▼ −1.5
9 February 202539.4Easing▼ −0.8
8 February 202540.2Easing▲ +1.5
7 February 202538.7Easing▲ +1.6
6 February 202537.1Easing▲ +1.2
5 February 202536.0Easing▼ −0.8
4 February 202536.8Easing▼ −2.6
3 February 202539.4Easing▼ −3.6
2 February 202543.0Easing▼ −2.0
1 February 202544.9Neutral▼ −1.5
Previous: January 2025All of 2025Next: March 2025

Frequently asked questions

How tense was the world in February 2025?

Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 35.3 (Easing) in February 2025: the 87th tensest of 104 months since March 2018.

What was the tensest day of February 2025?

1 February 2025, when Riftrate read 44.9 (Neutral).

Which countries were most tense in February 2025?

Somalia (19.4% of its news about armed violence), Sudan (19.2% of its news about armed violence), Gaza and the West Bank (18.3% of its news about armed violence).