Riftrate · February 2020
World tension in February 2020
In February 2020, Riftrate averaged 36.9 (Easing), down 16.2 points from January 2020. It peaked at 46.2 on 29 February 2020 and was lowest at 28.7 on 1 February 2020.
Average36.9Easing
High46.229 February 2020
Low28.71 February 2020
Change vs January▼ −16.2average to average
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
| Signal | Average | vs Jan |
|---|---|---|
| Geopolitical risk (GPR) | 25 | ▼ −44.4 |
| Diplomatic rupture | 96 | ▲ +43.0 |
| Escalation momentum | 22 | ▼ −33.4 |
| Domestic unrest | 68 | ▲ +26.4 |
| Terrorism & mass violence | 23 | ▼ −18.8 |
| Economic coercion | 17 | ▼ −12.4 |
| Media tone | 71 | ▼ −11.9 |
| War & military | 39 | ▼ −7.7 |
February 2020 in context
By its average, February 2020 was the 82nd tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 0 of its 29 days in Tension or Crisis and 25 in Easing or Complacency. That is 2.1 points lower than in February 2019 (38.9). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Syria (27.3%), Yemen (25.4%), Burkina Faso (24.5%). Also this month: US–Taliban agreement in Doha (29 February 2020).
Day by day
| Day | Riftrate | Zone | Day change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 February 2020 | 46.2 | Neutral | ▲ +0.6 |
| 28 February 2020 | 45.6 | Neutral | ▲ +0.5 |
| 27 February 2020 | 45.1 | Neutral | ▼ −0.9 |
| 26 February 2020 | 46.0 | Neutral | ▲ +3.0 |
| 25 February 2020 | 43.0 | Easing | ▲ +2.5 |
| 24 February 2020 | 40.5 | Easing | ▲ +1.8 |
| 23 February 2020 | 38.7 | Easing | ▼ −1.0 |
| 22 February 2020 | 39.7 | Easing | ▲ +1.5 |
| 21 February 2020 | 38.1 | Easing | ▲ +2.7 |
| 20 February 2020 | 35.5 | Easing | ▲ +3.8 |
| 19 February 2020 | 31.7 | Easing | ▼ −0.4 |
| 18 February 2020 | 32.1 | Easing | 0.0 |
| 17 February 2020 | 32.1 | Easing | ▼ −0.5 |
| 16 February 2020 | 32.6 | Easing | ▲ +0.2 |
| 15 February 2020 | 32.4 | Easing | ▼ −0.2 |
| 14 February 2020 | 32.6 | Easing | ▼ −1.3 |
| 13 February 2020 | 33.9 | Easing | ▼ −2.2 |
| 12 February 2020 | 36.1 | Easing | ▼ −0.1 |
| 11 February 2020 | 36.2 | Easing | ▼ −0.7 |
| 10 February 2020 | 36.9 | Easing | ▼ −1.3 |
| 9 February 2020 | 38.1 | Easing | ▲ +0.2 |
| 8 February 2020 | 38.0 | Easing | 0.0 |
| 7 February 2020 | 38.0 | Easing | ▲ +1.2 |
| 6 February 2020 | 36.8 | Easing | ▼ −0.2 |
| 5 February 2020 | 37.0 | Easing | ▲ +2.3 |
| 4 February 2020 | 34.7 | Easing | ▲ +2.2 |
| 3 February 2020 | 32.5 | Easing | ▲ +2.2 |
| 2 February 2020 | 30.4 | Easing | ▲ +1.7 |
| 1 February 2020 | 28.7 | Easing | ▲ +1.4 |
Frequently asked questions
How tense was the world in February 2020?
Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 36.9 (Easing) in February 2020: the 82nd tensest of 104 months since March 2018.
What was the tensest day of February 2020?
29 February 2020, when Riftrate read 46.2 (Neutral).
Which countries were most tense in February 2020?
Syria (27.3% of its news about armed violence), Yemen (25.4% of its news about armed violence), Burkina Faso (24.5% of its news about armed violence).