RIFTRATE Get the gauge

World tension in March 2020

In March 2020, Riftrate averaged 28.2 (Easing), down 8.7 points from February 2020. It peaked at 48.5 on 2 March 2020 and was lowest at 20.2 on 22 March 2020.

Average28.2Easing
High48.52 March 2020
Low20.222 March 2020
Change vs February▼ −8.7average to average
Riftrate · March 2020
025507510015 Feb22 Feb29 Feb7 Mar14 Mar21 Mar28 Mar
SignalAveragevs Feb
Domestic unrest44▼ −23.6
War & military18▼ −21.0
Media tone90▲ +19.1
Terrorism & mass violence6▼ −17.2
Escalation momentum5▼ −17.1
Economic coercion5▼ −11.7
Geopolitical risk (GPR)30▲ +4.4
Diplomatic rupture99▲ +2.2

March 2020 in context

By its average, March 2020 was the 97th tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 0 of its 31 days in Tension or Crisis and 26 in Easing or Complacency. That is 27.1 points lower than in March 2019 (55.3). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Yemen (21.3%), Syria (20.2%), Somalia (19.1%).

DayRiftrateZoneDay change
31 March 202020.6Complacency▼ −2.3
30 March 202022.8Complacency▲ +0.3
29 March 202022.5Complacency▲ +1.9
28 March 202020.6Complacency▼ −0.2
27 March 202020.9Complacency▼ −0.8
26 March 202021.7Complacency▼ −1.1
25 March 202022.8Complacency▼ −0.4
24 March 202023.2Complacency▲ +2.1
23 March 202021.1Complacency▲ +1.0
22 March 202020.2Complacency▼ −0.2
21 March 202020.4Complacency▼ −0.9
20 March 202021.3Complacency▼ −0.6
19 March 202022.0Complacency▼ −0.1
18 March 202022.1Complacency▲ +0.5
17 March 202021.6Complacency▲ +1.0
16 March 202020.6Complacency▼ −0.1
15 March 202020.7Complacency▼ −0.3
14 March 202021.0Complacency▼ −0.3
13 March 202021.4Complacency▼ −0.9
12 March 202022.3Complacency▼ −2.2
11 March 202024.5Easing▼ −3.7
10 March 202028.2Easing▼ −4.7
9 March 202032.9Easing▼ −4.3
8 March 202037.2Easing▼ −3.0
7 March 202040.2Easing▼ −3.2
6 March 202043.4Easing▼ −2.9
5 March 202046.3Neutral▼ −0.5
4 March 202046.8Neutral▼ −0.3
3 March 202047.1Neutral▼ −1.4
2 March 202048.5Neutral▲ +0.7
1 March 202047.8Neutral▲ +1.6

Frequently asked questions

How tense was the world in March 2020?

Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 28.2 (Easing) in March 2020: the 97th tensest of 104 months since March 2018.

What was the tensest day of March 2020?

2 March 2020, when Riftrate read 48.5 (Neutral).

Which countries were most tense in March 2020?

Yemen (21.3% of its news about armed violence), Syria (20.2% of its news about armed violence), Somalia (19.1% of its news about armed violence).