World tension in March 2020
In March 2020, Riftrate averaged 28.2 (Easing), down 8.7 points from February 2020. It peaked at 48.5 on 2 March 2020 and was lowest at 20.2 on 22 March 2020.
| Signal | Average | vs Feb |
|---|---|---|
| Domestic unrest | 44 | ▼ −23.6 |
| War & military | 18 | ▼ −21.0 |
| Media tone | 90 | ▲ +19.1 |
| Terrorism & mass violence | 6 | ▼ −17.2 |
| Escalation momentum | 5 | ▼ −17.1 |
| Economic coercion | 5 | ▼ −11.7 |
| Geopolitical risk (GPR) | 30 | ▲ +4.4 |
| Diplomatic rupture | 99 | ▲ +2.2 |
March 2020 in context
By its average, March 2020 was the 97th tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 0 of its 31 days in Tension or Crisis and 26 in Easing or Complacency. That is 27.1 points lower than in March 2019 (55.3). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Yemen (21.3%), Syria (20.2%), Somalia (19.1%).
| Day | Riftrate | Zone | Day change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 March 2020 | 20.6 | Complacency | ▼ −2.3 |
| 30 March 2020 | 22.8 | Complacency | ▲ +0.3 |
| 29 March 2020 | 22.5 | Complacency | ▲ +1.9 |
| 28 March 2020 | 20.6 | Complacency | ▼ −0.2 |
| 27 March 2020 | 20.9 | Complacency | ▼ −0.8 |
| 26 March 2020 | 21.7 | Complacency | ▼ −1.1 |
| 25 March 2020 | 22.8 | Complacency | ▼ −0.4 |
| 24 March 2020 | 23.2 | Complacency | ▲ +2.1 |
| 23 March 2020 | 21.1 | Complacency | ▲ +1.0 |
| 22 March 2020 | 20.2 | Complacency | ▼ −0.2 |
| 21 March 2020 | 20.4 | Complacency | ▼ −0.9 |
| 20 March 2020 | 21.3 | Complacency | ▼ −0.6 |
| 19 March 2020 | 22.0 | Complacency | ▼ −0.1 |
| 18 March 2020 | 22.1 | Complacency | ▲ +0.5 |
| 17 March 2020 | 21.6 | Complacency | ▲ +1.0 |
| 16 March 2020 | 20.6 | Complacency | ▼ −0.1 |
| 15 March 2020 | 20.7 | Complacency | ▼ −0.3 |
| 14 March 2020 | 21.0 | Complacency | ▼ −0.3 |
| 13 March 2020 | 21.4 | Complacency | ▼ −0.9 |
| 12 March 2020 | 22.3 | Complacency | ▼ −2.2 |
| 11 March 2020 | 24.5 | Easing | ▼ −3.7 |
| 10 March 2020 | 28.2 | Easing | ▼ −4.7 |
| 9 March 2020 | 32.9 | Easing | ▼ −4.3 |
| 8 March 2020 | 37.2 | Easing | ▼ −3.0 |
| 7 March 2020 | 40.2 | Easing | ▼ −3.2 |
| 6 March 2020 | 43.4 | Easing | ▼ −2.9 |
| 5 March 2020 | 46.3 | Neutral | ▼ −0.5 |
| 4 March 2020 | 46.8 | Neutral | ▼ −0.3 |
| 3 March 2020 | 47.1 | Neutral | ▼ −1.4 |
| 2 March 2020 | 48.5 | Neutral | ▲ +0.7 |
| 1 March 2020 | 47.8 | Neutral | ▲ +1.6 |
Frequently asked questions
How tense was the world in March 2020?
Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 28.2 (Easing) in March 2020: the 97th tensest of 104 months since March 2018.
What was the tensest day of March 2020?
2 March 2020, when Riftrate read 48.5 (Neutral).
Which countries were most tense in March 2020?
Yemen (21.3% of its news about armed violence), Syria (20.2% of its news about armed violence), Somalia (19.1% of its news about armed violence).