Riftrate · August 2019
World tension in August 2019
In August 2019, Riftrate averaged 57.1 (Tension), up 19.2 points from July 2019. It peaked at 78.8 on 10 August 2019 and was lowest at 42.4 on 31 August 2019.
Average57.1Tension
High78.810 August 2019
Low42.431 August 2019
Change vs July▲ +19.2average to average
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
| Signal | Average | vs Jul |
|---|---|---|
| Escalation momentum | 77 | ▲ +31.5 |
| War & military | 49 | ▲ +30.2 |
| Media tone | 88 | ▲ +27.9 |
| Economic coercion | 40 | ▼ −26.9 |
| Geopolitical risk (GPR) | 67 | ▲ +24.5 |
| Diplomatic rupture | 45 | ▲ +8.7 |
| Domestic unrest | 50 | ▼ −7.2 |
| Terrorism & mass violence | 23 | ▲ +3.4 |
August 2019 in context
By its average, August 2019 was the 37th tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 12 of its 31 days in Tension or Crisis and 2 in Easing or Complacency. That is 4.8 points higher than in August 2018 (52.3). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Yemen (26.8%), Syria (21.9%), Afghanistan (18.5%). Also this month: Yuan falls past 7 per dollar (5 August 2019).
Day by day
| Day | Riftrate | Zone | Day change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 August 2019 | 42.4 | Easing | ▼ −1.1 |
| 30 August 2019 | 43.5 | Easing | ▼ −3.1 |
| 29 August 2019 | 46.6 | Neutral | ▼ −2.1 |
| 28 August 2019 | 48.7 | Neutral | ▼ −0.7 |
| 27 August 2019 | 49.4 | Neutral | ▲ +1.1 |
| 26 August 2019 | 48.3 | Neutral | ▼ −1.8 |
| 25 August 2019 | 50.1 | Neutral | ▼ −1.2 |
| 24 August 2019 | 51.3 | Neutral | ▼ −2.2 |
| 23 August 2019 | 53.5 | Neutral | ▼ −1.1 |
| 22 August 2019 | 54.6 | Neutral | ▲ +1.3 |
| 21 August 2019 | 53.3 | Neutral | ▲ +2.8 |
| 20 August 2019 | 50.5 | Neutral | ▲ +3.8 |
| 19 August 2019 | 46.8 | Neutral | ▲ +1.2 |
| 18 August 2019 | 45.6 | Neutral | ▼ −0.1 |
| 17 August 2019 | 45.7 | Neutral | ▼ −1.5 |
| 16 August 2019 | 47.2 | Neutral | ▼ −2.8 |
| 15 August 2019 | 50.0 | Neutral | ▼ −6.5 |
| 14 August 2019 | 56.6 | Tension | ▼ −7.9 |
| 13 August 2019 | 64.4 | Tension | ▼ −10.2 |
| 12 August 2019 | 74.6 | Tension | ▼ −2.8 |
| 11 August 2019 | 77.4 | Crisis | ▼ −1.4 |
| 10 August 2019 | 78.8 | Crisis | ▲ +0.1 |
| 9 August 2019 | 78.8 | Crisis | ▲ +0.8 |
| 8 August 2019 | 77.9 | Crisis | ▲ +2.3 |
| 7 August 2019 | 75.7 | Crisis | ▲ +4.3 |
| 6 August 2019 | 71.4 | Tension | ▲ +5.5 |
| 5 August 2019 | 65.9 | Tension | ▲ +3.6 |
| 4 August 2019 | 62.3 | Tension | ▲ +6.3 |
| 3 August 2019 | 56.0 | Tension | ▲ +3.9 |
| 2 August 2019 | 52.1 | Neutral | ▲ +1.7 |
| 1 August 2019 | 50.4 | Neutral | ▲ +1.3 |
Frequently asked questions
How tense was the world in August 2019?
Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 57.1 (Tension) in August 2019: the 37th tensest of 104 months since March 2018.
What was the tensest day of August 2019?
10 August 2019, when Riftrate read 78.8 (Crisis).
Which countries were most tense in August 2019?
Yemen (26.8% of its news about armed violence), Syria (21.9% of its news about armed violence), Afghanistan (18.5% of its news about armed violence).