Riftrate · July 2019
World tension in July 2019
In July 2019, Riftrate averaged 37.9 (Easing), down 0.0 points from June 2019. It peaked at 58.7 on 24 July 2019 and was lowest at 15.5 on 10 July 2019.
Average37.9Easing
High58.724 July 2019
Low15.510 July 2019
Change vs June0.0average to average
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
| Signal | Average | vs Jun |
|---|---|---|
| Media tone | 60 | ▲ +16.8 |
| Economic coercion | 66 | ▲ +16.8 |
| Geopolitical risk (GPR) | 43 | ▼ −15.6 |
| War & military | 18 | ▼ −13.0 |
| Escalation momentum | 46 | ▲ +7.5 |
| Domestic unrest | 57 | ▲ +4.0 |
| Diplomatic rupture | 36 | ▼ −3.4 |
| Terrorism & mass violence | 20 | ▲ +2.1 |
July 2019 in context
By its average, July 2019 was the 78th tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 5 of its 31 days in Tension or Crisis and 19 in Easing or Complacency. That is 1.8 points higher than in July 2018 (36.1). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Yemen (20.5%), Afghanistan (20.1%), Syria (19.8%).
Day by day
| Day | Riftrate | Zone | Day change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 July 2019 | 49.2 | Neutral | ▼ −0.7 |
| 30 July 2019 | 49.9 | Neutral | ▼ −1.3 |
| 29 July 2019 | 51.2 | Neutral | ▼ −3.2 |
| 28 July 2019 | 54.3 | Neutral | ▼ −2.2 |
| 27 July 2019 | 56.5 | Tension | ▼ −1.7 |
| 26 July 2019 | 58.1 | Tension | 0.0 |
| 25 July 2019 | 58.1 | Tension | ▼ −0.6 |
| 24 July 2019 | 58.7 | Tension | ▲ +1.1 |
| 23 July 2019 | 57.6 | Tension | ▲ +7.4 |
| 22 July 2019 | 50.3 | Neutral | ▲ +7.7 |
| 21 July 2019 | 42.5 | Easing | ▲ +2.1 |
| 20 July 2019 | 40.4 | Easing | ▲ +1.0 |
| 19 July 2019 | 39.4 | Easing | ▲ +2.0 |
| 18 July 2019 | 37.4 | Easing | ▲ +2.9 |
| 17 July 2019 | 34.5 | Easing | ▲ +4.1 |
| 16 July 2019 | 30.3 | Easing | ▲ +1.6 |
| 15 July 2019 | 28.8 | Easing | ▲ +2.1 |
| 14 July 2019 | 26.7 | Easing | ▲ +3.5 |
| 13 July 2019 | 23.2 | Complacency | ▲ +4.6 |
| 12 July 2019 | 18.7 | Complacency | ▲ +2.1 |
| 11 July 2019 | 16.6 | Complacency | ▲ +1.1 |
| 10 July 2019 | 15.5 | Complacency | ▼ −0.8 |
| 9 July 2019 | 16.3 | Complacency | ▼ −2.7 |
| 8 July 2019 | 19.1 | Complacency | ▼ −3.1 |
| 7 July 2019 | 22.1 | Complacency | ▼ −1.6 |
| 6 July 2019 | 23.8 | Complacency | ▼ −4.3 |
| 5 July 2019 | 28.0 | Easing | ▼ −6.2 |
| 4 July 2019 | 34.3 | Easing | ▼ −6.0 |
| 3 July 2019 | 40.2 | Easing | ▼ −4.4 |
| 2 July 2019 | 44.6 | Neutral | ▼ −3.2 |
| 1 July 2019 | 47.8 | Neutral | ▼ −6.7 |
Frequently asked questions
How tense was the world in July 2019?
Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 37.9 (Easing) in July 2019: the 78th tensest of 104 months since March 2018.
What was the tensest day of July 2019?
24 July 2019, when Riftrate read 58.7 (Tension).
Which countries were most tense in July 2019?
Yemen (20.5% of its news about armed violence), Afghanistan (20.1% of its news about armed violence), Syria (19.8% of its news about armed violence).