Riftrate · September 2019
World tension in September 2019
In September 2019, Riftrate averaged 34.3 (Easing), down 22.8 points from August 2019. It peaked at 50.8 on 22 September 2019 and was lowest at 20.0 on 13 September 2019.
Average34.3Easing
High50.822 September 2019
Low20.013 September 2019
Change vs August▼ −22.8average to average
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
| Signal | Average | vs Aug |
|---|---|---|
| Escalation momentum | 20 | ▼ −57.3 |
| Media tone | 52 | ▼ −35.9 |
| Geopolitical risk (GPR) | 41 | ▼ −25.9 |
| War & military | 25 | ▼ −23.2 |
| Diplomatic rupture | 61 | ▲ +16.1 |
| Terrorism & mass violence | 30 | ▲ +7.4 |
| Domestic unrest | 43 | ▼ −7.2 |
| Economic coercion | 43 | ▲ +3.0 |
September 2019 in context
By its average, September 2019 was the 88th tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 0 of its 30 days in Tension or Crisis and 26 in Easing or Complacency. That is 2.7 points lower than in September 2018 (37.0). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Yemen (23.7%), Afghanistan (19.2%), Syria (18.0%). Also this month: Attack on Saudi oil facilities (14 September 2019).
Day by day
| Day | Riftrate | Zone | Day change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 September 2019 | 24.4 | Complacency | ▼ −0.5 |
| 29 September 2019 | 24.9 | Easing | ▼ −2.9 |
| 28 September 2019 | 27.8 | Easing | ▼ −3.7 |
| 27 September 2019 | 31.5 | Easing | ▼ −3.8 |
| 26 September 2019 | 35.3 | Easing | ▼ −4.5 |
| 25 September 2019 | 39.8 | Easing | ▼ −3.3 |
| 24 September 2019 | 43.2 | Easing | ▼ −5.1 |
| 23 September 2019 | 48.2 | Neutral | ▼ −2.6 |
| 22 September 2019 | 50.8 | Neutral | ▲ +0.8 |
| 21 September 2019 | 50.1 | Neutral | ▲ +3.9 |
| 20 September 2019 | 46.2 | Neutral | ▲ +5.4 |
| 19 September 2019 | 40.8 | Easing | ▲ +4.4 |
| 18 September 2019 | 36.4 | Easing | ▲ +4.1 |
| 17 September 2019 | 32.2 | Easing | ▲ +6.6 |
| 16 September 2019 | 25.6 | Easing | ▲ +4.5 |
| 15 September 2019 | 21.2 | Complacency | ▲ +1.1 |
| 14 September 2019 | 20.1 | Complacency | ▲ +0.1 |
| 13 September 2019 | 20.0 | Complacency | ▼ −1.1 |
| 12 September 2019 | 21.2 | Complacency | ▼ −1.6 |
| 11 September 2019 | 22.7 | Complacency | ▼ −1.6 |
| 10 September 2019 | 24.3 | Complacency | ▼ −1.9 |
| 9 September 2019 | 26.2 | Easing | ▼ −4.4 |
| 8 September 2019 | 30.6 | Easing | ▼ −5.7 |
| 7 September 2019 | 36.3 | Easing | ▼ −4.1 |
| 6 September 2019 | 40.4 | Easing | ▼ −0.5 |
| 5 September 2019 | 40.9 | Easing | 0.0 |
| 4 September 2019 | 41.0 | Easing | ▼ −0.1 |
| 3 September 2019 | 41.1 | Easing | ▼ −1.8 |
| 2 September 2019 | 42.8 | Easing | ▲ +0.2 |
| 1 September 2019 | 42.6 | Easing | ▲ +0.2 |
Frequently asked questions
How tense was the world in September 2019?
Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 34.3 (Easing) in September 2019: the 88th tensest of 104 months since March 2018.
What was the tensest day of September 2019?
22 September 2019, when Riftrate read 50.8 (Neutral).
Which countries were most tense in September 2019?
Yemen (23.7% of its news about armed violence), Afghanistan (19.2% of its news about armed violence), Syria (18.0% of its news about armed violence).