World tension in July 2018

In July 2018, Riftrate averaged 36.1 (Easing), up 12.1 points from June 2018. It peaked at 55.9 on 27 July 2018 and was lowest at 25.7 on 6 July 2018.

Average36.1Easing

High55.927 July 2018

Low25.76 July 2018

Change vs June▲ +12.1average to average

Riftrate · July 2018

The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense

Signal	Average	vs Jun
Escalation momentum	58	▲ +47.4
Media tone	40	▲ +28.7
Geopolitical risk (GPR)	68	▲ +9.2
Economic coercion	35	▲ +4.7
Diplomatic rupture	29	▲ +3.9
Terrorism & mass violence	19	▲ +2.6
War & military	19	▼ −2.5
Domestic unrest	40	▼ −1.6

July 2018 in context

By its average, July 2018 was the 85th tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 1 of its 31 days in Tension or Crisis and 24 in Easing or Complacency. The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Yemen (24.1%), Syria (20.5%), Afghanistan (20.2%). Also this month: Mexico elects Andrés Manuel López Obrador (1 July 2018), First US tariffs on China take effect (6 July 2018).

Day by day

Day	Riftrate	Zone	Day change
31 July 2018	42.8	Easing	▼ −4.6
30 July 2018	47.4	Neutral	▼ −4.9
29 July 2018	52.3	Neutral	▼ −2.8
28 July 2018	55.1	Neutral	▼ −0.8
27 July 2018	55.9	Tension	▲ +3.4
26 July 2018	52.5	Neutral	▲ +2.8
25 July 2018	49.7	Neutral	▲ +4.5
24 July 2018	45.2	Neutral	▲ +4.3
23 July 2018	40.9	Easing	▲ +2.2
22 July 2018	38.7	Easing	▲ +1.4
21 July 2018	37.3	Easing	▲ +0.2
20 July 2018	37.1	Easing	▼ −0.7
19 July 2018	37.8	Easing	▲ +1.6
18 July 2018	36.2	Easing	▲ +0.8
17 July 2018	35.5	Easing	▲ +2.1
16 July 2018	33.4	Easing	▲ +1.1
15 July 2018	32.3	Easing	▲ +1.0
14 July 2018	31.3	Easing	▲ +1.7
13 July 2018	29.6	Easing	▲ +1.1
12 July 2018	28.4	Easing	▲ +1.2
11 July 2018	27.3	Easing	▲ +1.2
10 July 2018	26.1	Easing	▼ −1.5
9 July 2018	27.6	Easing	▲ +0.5
8 July 2018	27.1	Easing	▲ +0.4
7 July 2018	26.7	Easing	▲ +1.0
6 July 2018	25.7	Easing	▼ −1.2
5 July 2018	26.9	Easing	▼ −0.4
4 July 2018	27.3	Easing	▼ −2.1
3 July 2018	29.4	Easing	▲ +1.3
2 July 2018	28.1	Easing	▲ +2.2
1 July 2018	25.9	Easing	▲ +0.9

Previous: June 2018 All of 2018 Next: August 2018

Frequently asked questions

How tense was the world in July 2018?

Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 36.1 (Easing) in July 2018: the 85th tensest of 104 months since March 2018.

What was the tensest day of July 2018?

27 July 2018, when Riftrate read 55.9 (Tension).

Which countries were most tense in July 2018?

Yemen (24.1% of its news about armed violence), Syria (20.5% of its news about armed violence), Afghanistan (20.2% of its news about armed violence).