RIFTRATE Get the gauge

World tension in August 2018

In August 2018, Riftrate averaged 52.3 (Neutral), up 16.2 points from July 2018. It peaked at 75.9 on 11 August 2018 and was lowest at 37.2 on 21 August 2018.

Average52.3Neutral
High75.911 August 2018
Low37.221 August 2018
Change vs July▲ +16.2average to average
Riftrate · August 2018
025507510017 Jul24 Jul31 Jul7 Aug14 Aug21 Aug28 Aug
SignalAveragevs Jul
Economic coercion85▲ +49.9
Media tone81▲ +41.6
Escalation momentum78▲ +19.2
Terrorism & mass violence35▲ +16.1
Domestic unrest37▼ −2.8
Diplomatic rupture27▼ −2.4
War & military17▼ −1.9
Geopolitical risk (GPR)66▼ −1.3

August 2018 in context

By its average, August 2018 was the 46th tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 12 of its 31 days in Tension or Crisis and 16 in Easing or Complacency. The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Yemen (27.5%), Afghanistan (24.6%), Central African Republic (19.7%).

DayRiftrateZoneDay change
31 August 201841.6Easing▲ +0.4
30 August 201841.2Easing▼ −1.3
29 August 201842.5Easing▼ −0.5
28 August 201843.0Easing▲ +0.7
27 August 201842.3Easing▲ +1.1
26 August 201841.2Easing▲ +2.0
25 August 201839.2Easing▲ +2.0
24 August 201837.3Easing▼ −1.1
23 August 201838.4Easing▲ +0.7
22 August 201837.7Easing▲ +0.5
21 August 201837.2Easing▼ −2.1
20 August 201839.3Easing▼ −4.4
19 August 201843.8Easing▼ −6.2
18 August 201849.9Neutral▼ −7.4
17 August 201857.3Tension▼ −4.8
16 August 201862.1Tension▼ −5.0
15 August 201867.1Tension▼ −3.6
14 August 201870.7Tension▼ −3.3
13 August 201874.1Tension▼ −1.8
12 August 201875.8Crisis▼ −0.1
11 August 201875.9Crisis▲ +1.9
10 August 201874.0Tension▲ +1.9
9 August 201872.1Tension▲ +3.4
8 August 201868.7Tension▲ +3.9
7 August 201864.9Tension▲ +6.3
6 August 201858.5Tension▲ +6.5
5 August 201852.0Neutral▲ +4.8
4 August 201847.2Neutral▲ +4.2
3 August 201843.0Easing▲ +2.0
2 August 201841.0Easing▼ −0.4
1 August 201841.4Easing▼ −1.4

Frequently asked questions

How tense was the world in August 2018?

Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 52.3 (Neutral) in August 2018: the 46th tensest of 104 months since March 2018.

What was the tensest day of August 2018?

11 August 2018, when Riftrate read 75.9 (Crisis).

Which countries were most tense in August 2018?

Yemen (27.5% of its news about armed violence), Afghanistan (24.6% of its news about armed violence), Central African Republic (19.7% of its news about armed violence).