RIFTRATE Get the gauge

World tension in September 2018

In September 2018, Riftrate averaged 37.0 (Easing), down 15.2 points from August 2018. It peaked at 43.9 on 26 September 2018 and was lowest at 27.3 on 7 September 2018.

Average37.0Easing
High43.926 September 2018
Low27.37 September 2018
Change vs August▼ −15.2average to average
Riftrate · September 2018
025507510017 Aug24 Aug31 Aug7 Sep14 Sep21 Sep28 Sep
SignalAveragevs Aug
Geopolitical risk (GPR)22▼ −44.4
Escalation momentum41▼ −36.4
Media tone47▼ −33.9
Diplomatic rupture55▲ +27.8
Terrorism & mass violence56▲ +21.0
Economic coercion67▼ −18.0
War & military25▲ +8.0
Domestic unrest37▲ +0.1

September 2018 in context

By its average, September 2018 was the 81st tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 0 of its 30 days in Tension or Crisis and 30 in Easing or Complacency. The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Yemen (22.9%), Syria (21.3%), Afghanistan (20.2%).

DayRiftrateZoneDay change
30 September 201835.9Easing▼ −2.4
29 September 201838.3Easing▼ −2.3
28 September 201840.6Easing▼ −2.6
27 September 201843.2Easing▼ −0.7
26 September 201843.9Easing▲ +1.1
25 September 201842.8Easing▼ −0.6
24 September 201843.4Easing▲ +2.5
23 September 201840.9Easing▲ +2.1
22 September 201838.8Easing▲ +1.7
21 September 201837.1Easing▲ +2.4
20 September 201834.7Easing▼ −0.5
19 September 201835.2Easing▼ −1.8
18 September 201837.0Easing▲ +0.2
17 September 201836.9Easing▼ −0.9
16 September 201837.7Easing▼ −2.2
15 September 201839.9Easing▼ −0.7
14 September 201840.6Easing▼ −0.7
13 September 201841.4Easing▲ +1.3
12 September 201840.1Easing▲ +1.5
11 September 201838.6Easing▲ +5.1
10 September 201833.5Easing▲ +3.7
9 September 201829.8Easing▲ +2.1
8 September 201827.7Easing▲ +0.4
7 September 201827.3Easing0.0
6 September 201827.4Easing▼ −1.9
5 September 201829.2Easing▼ −2.3
4 September 201831.6Easing▼ −5.0
3 September 201836.6Easing▼ −3.3
2 September 201839.8Easing▼ −1.0
1 September 201840.9Easing▼ −0.8

Frequently asked questions

How tense was the world in September 2018?

Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 37.0 (Easing) in September 2018: the 81st tensest of 104 months since March 2018.

What was the tensest day of September 2018?

26 September 2018, when Riftrate read 43.9 (Easing).

Which countries were most tense in September 2018?

Yemen (22.9% of its news about armed violence), Syria (21.3% of its news about armed violence), Afghanistan (20.2% of its news about armed violence).